The Fukushima nuclear accident and the pale grass blue butterfly: evaluating biological effects of long-term low-dose exposures
© Hiyama et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2013
Received: 23 January 2013
Accepted: 8 July 2013
Published: 12 August 2013
On August 9th 2012, we published an original research article in Scientific Reports, concluding that artificial radionuclides released from the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant exerted genetically and physiologically adverse effects on the pale grass blue butterfly Zizeeria maha in the Fukushima area. Immediately following publication, many questions and comments were generated from all over the world. Here, we have clarified points made in the original paper and answered questions posed by the readers.
The following points were clarified. (1) There are many advantages to using the pale grass blue butterfly as an indicator species. (2) The forewings of the individuals collected in Fukushima were significantly smaller than in the northern and southern localities. (3) We observed growth retardation in the butterflies from the Fukushima area. (4) The aberrant colour patterns in the butterflies obtained in the Fukushima area were different from the colour patterns induced by temperature and sibling crosses but similar to those induced by external and internal exposures to the artificial radionuclides and by a chemical mutagen, suggesting that genetic mutations caused the aberrations. (5) This species of butterfly has been plentiful in Fukushima area for at least half a century. We here present specimens collected from Fukushima Prefecture before the accident. (6) Mutation accumulation was detected by the increase in the abnormality rates from May 2011 to September 2011. (7) The abnormal traits were heritable. (8) Our sampling localities were not affected by the tsunami. (9) We used a high enough number of samples to obtain statistically significant results. (10) The standard rearing method was followed, producing normal adults in the control groups. (11) The exposure experiments successfully reproduced the results of the field work. This species of butterfly is vulnerable to long-term low-dose internal and external exposures; however, insect cells are known to be resistant to short-term high-dose irradiation. This discrepancy is reconcilable based on the differences in the experimental conditions.
We are just beginning to understand the biological effects of long-term low-dose exposures in animals. Further research is necessary to accurately assess the possible biological effects of the accident.
KeywordsAbnormality rate Artificial radionuclides Colour pattern Fukushima nuclear accident Long-term low-dose radiation exposure Pale grass blue butterfly Zizeeria maha
Because of the Great East Japan Earthquake, which occurred on March 11th 2011, the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) exploded and released a massive amount of artificial radionuclides into the environment. Next to the Chernobyl accident in 1986, this was the second largest environmental pollution caused by a nuclear power plant accident in history. Although there have been several studies of the biological effects of the Chernobyl accident, the biological effects of long-term low-dose exposures are still under debate because, to the best of our knowledge, none of the studies continuously monitored the effects on ecosystems or on a particular organism from the very early stages post-accident. In addition, none of the studies reproduced the field-based results in the laboratory through genetic crosses and external and internal exposure experiments using an indicator species.
Immediately after the publication of our research in Scientific Reports on August 9th 2012 , we received numerous questions and comments from people around the world. According to the publisher’s website metrics (http://www.nature.com/srep/2012/120809/srep00570/metrics), as of January 22nd 2013, the original paper  has received an exceptionally large number (276,139) of views. A number of the comments were encouraging, whereas others were discouraging, and a number of the comments were scientific, whereas others were emotional and/or political. On the one hand, we very much appreciated the honest scientific discussions that contributed to our deeper understanding of the scientific truth. On the other hand, we received quasi-scientific or pseudo-scientific discussions that could be interpreted as political. It is important to distinguish the political issues from the scientific facts. We were not able to address the non-scientific comments in this report, although our advice to the authors of these comments is to read the original and related papers carefully.
However, to avoid scientific confusion, we are obliged to answer the scientific questions and to systematically address the scientific comments. To our surprise, we now know that biological field sampling attempts from immediately after the Fukushima accident are scarce, not to mention scarcity of experimental demonstration of irradiation effects. In this report, we explained the important points raised by our readers. To facilitate the understanding of the spatial relationships among the sampling localities, we have included maps of Japan, the Kanto-Tohoku district, and Fukushima Prefecture (Figure 1).
We observed morphological abnormalities in the field-caught adult butterflies with respect to the wing shape, wing colour pattern, appendages, antennae, palpi, compound eyes, thorax, and abdomen. The frequency of these abnormalities in the adults did not correlate with the ground radiation dose in the localities where the specimens were collected in May 2011. In contrast, in the specimens collected in September 2011, a high positive correlation between the abnormality rate of adults and the ground radiation dose was observed. Similar morphological abnormalities were reproduced experimentally in the individuals externally exposed to 137Cs and in the individuals internally exposed through feeding with the natural host plant collected from the contaminated areas.
In the May samples, the forewings of the male individuals from Fukushima were smaller than from other localities. Specifically, we observed a forewing-size reduction that was dependent on the ground radiation dose. In addition, this possible radiation effect on the forewing size was reproduced in the external and internal exposure experiments.
The abnormality rates of adults in the September field samples were higher than those in the May field samples. Similarly, the abnormality rates of adults in the September F1 samples were much higher compared with the May F1 samples.
The offspring (F1 generation) of the field females (P generation) collected in May exhibited various morphological abnormalities. Among the abnormalities, the abnormality rate of the appendages demonstrated a high inverse correlation with the distance of the collection localities from the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP.
In the F1 generation from the May and September samples, the growth periods to pupation and to eclosion were longer in the samples collected from the localities closer to the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP. That is, we observed growth retardation that was inversely dependent on the distance from the NPP.
The F2 generation, generated from genetic crosses between the abnormal F1 individuals from the various localities and the normal F1 individuals from Tsukuba in the May samples, demonstrated the inheritance of the abnormalities. Many of the abnormalities in the F2 generation were identical or homologous to those in the F1 generation. In addition, some F1 individuals were infertile or sterile.
In the experiment using 137Cs as the radiation source for the external exposure of the Okinawa individuals, we observed a dose-dependent decrease in the survival rate.
In the internal exposure experiments in which the contaminated host plant collected from the Fukushima area was fed to the Okinawa individuals, we observed a decrease in the survival rates that was proportional to the 137Cs activity and to the 134Cs activity contained in the host plant.
Based on these results, we concluded that at least some of the morphological and physiological abnormalities detected in the field-caught individuals from the Fukushima area and their progeny originated from the physiological and genetic damage to somatic and germ-line cells caused by the artificial radionuclides from the Fukushima-Dai-ichi NPP. Among this series of experiments, the most important was the internal exposure experiment, which demonstrated that the contaminated host plant directly caused the death of larvae and pupae in a dose-dependent manner. Alternative reasons for the internal exposure results are rather difficult, although not impossible, to explain (see Point 11). This experimental setting likely reflects what happened in the Z. maha in the Fukushima area. As far as we could determine, none of the comments from around the world criticised the internal exposure experiments and thankfully, many comments were positive. To our knowledge, this study is the first to use this experimental procedure (rearing animals collected from a non-contaminated area and feeding them contaminated foods collected from contaminated areas).
Re-analyses of the previous data
The numerical data presented in Supplementary Information of the Scientific Reports paper  were here re-analyzed and expressed in graphs and other visual aids that were not shown in the previous paper. One-dimensional scatter gram, box plots, bar graphs, and scatter plots were newly made using R version 126.96.36.199 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). Statistical analyses were performed using R and JSTAT (Yokohama, Japan).
New data in this paper
For a more in-depth discussion, we have included new data that have not been published. Abnormality rates of external and internal exposure experiments including their control rates that were presented in the previous paper  were shown in this paper for the first time. Colour-pattern changes were induced by cold shock or by sibling crosses, according to the previous studies [2–5]. Mutation-induced changes of colour patterns and legs were obtained by feeding larvae an artificial diet containing ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS), a common mutagen. Detailed methods for this mutagenesis experiments will be published elsewhere. We obtained specimens that were collected before the accident (see below), which were kindly gifted from lepidopterists in Fukushima Prefecture, N. Nagata and I. Tsunoda. Temperature data were obtained from Japan Meteorological Agency via internet (http://www.data.jma.go.jp).
Retrieval of comments and eleven critical points
As many commentators indicated, we admit that more profound discussions are necessary to interpret and understand the data correctly. We investigated as many of the scientifically relevant questions and comments from members of our own group, those posted on the web, and those sent to us directly via e-mail as possible and summarised them into the following eleven points: [Point 1] The suitability of the pale grass blue butterfly as an environmental indicator or a laboratory animal. [Point 2] The possibility of latitude-dependent forewing-size reduction. [Point 3] The significance of the growth retardation. [Point 4] The possibility that the colour-pattern aberrations were caused by temperatures. [Point 5] The possibility of locality-dependent variants or abnormalities. [Point 6] The implications of the abnormality rates and the possible accumulation of genetic mutations. [Point 7] Whether the abnormalities were because of genetic mutations. [Point 8] The relevance of the sampling localities and the possible effects of the tsunami and earthquake. [Point 9] The relevance of the sample size. [Point 10] The relevance of the rearing conditions. [Point 11] The importance of the exposure experiments and the possible discrepancy in the radiation sensitivity.
In addition, a small number of the critics noted that there was no comparison of the current population of this butterfly with the population before the accident. Fortunately, thanks to Japanese amateur lepidopterists, we have successfully retrieved several specimens from the previous populations collected from Fukushima Prefecture before the accident, which is discussed in Point 5.
We have discussed these eleven points based not only on the original data  but also on the relevant literature on insect physiology. We believe that solid discussions based on the current knowledge of insect physiology and on the natural history of Z. maha are necessary, which regrettably were ignored in many of the comments.
Results and discussion
[Point 1] The suitability of the pale grass blue as an environmental indicator or a laboratory animal
The commentators argued that the pale grass blue is not suitable as an indicator species, which may originate from the fact that this butterfly is not popular amongst biologists. We would like to note that most model organisms are not suitable as indicators in field studies. For example, it is difficult to collect local wild types of Drosophila melanogaster anymore because of the possibility of contamination with experimental mutant strains and because of the heavy human (and therefore fly) traffic associated with fruit export and import. Additionally, we would like to note that previous studies have used Z. maha as an indicator species [6, 7]. To understand the suitability of Z. maha as an indicator species, we have briefly discussed the natural history of this species below.
The pale grass blue Z. maha is distributed throughout Japan including Honshu, Shikoku, Kyushu, and the Ryukyu Archipelago (Okinawa Prefecture and Kagoshima Prefecture)  (Figure 1). The northern range margins are located in Fukaura (facing the Japan Sea) [3, 8, 9], which was confirmed by our latest field work in September 2012, and in Hachinohe (facing the Pacific Ocean), which is based on personal communication and information from the Ikari Corporation website (2008) (http://www.ikari.jp/column/c4/c4_rep24_20081007.html). Both Fukaura and Hachinohe are located in Aomori Prefecture (Figure 1) and are located far north of the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP, at 372 km and 346 km, respectively. As the Japanese name Yamato-shijimi (meaning the Japanese lycaenid) implies, this butterfly is one of the most prosperous species, especially in human habitats, in Japan, including the Fukushima area around the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP [8, 10–12].
In Japan, Z. maha is most likely one of the weakest butterflies in terms of flying ability. The adult butterfly flies mostly at a height of less than 1 m, partly because its host plant is usually less than 10 cm high. Moreover, the adult life span is approximately one week (under our rearing conditions). Based on single-individual tracing field work of Z. maha, a single adult of this species disperses over only a limited distance , likely a few kilometers at most. Thus, the dispersion of Z. maha in a single generation is more limited than any other butterfly in Japan and accordingly, the dispersion can be ignored when interpreting the results of the field work. Practically no other butterfly species in Japan is easier to collect, which allows researchers to collect relatively large numbers of individuals that can be subjected to rigorous statistical analysis.
Because the host plant is small in height, Z. maha spends its entire life very close to the ground (Figure 2). Therefore, the butterfly is directly affected by the ground surface environment. This life history is advantageous for monitoring the biological effects of radionuclide contamination because the radioactive fallout accumulates on the ground. When the meltdown and explosion of the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP occurred, the larvae were overwintering, sitting still on the ground surface on the host plant. Therefore, it is certain that the overwintering larvae were exposed externally to the artificial radiation from the very first day of the NPP explosion. In addition, the larvae ate the contaminated host plant before pupation, leading to simultaneous external and internal exposures.
However, the colour pattern changes in response to environmental stress [3–5], and this sensitivity makes Z. maha a useful species for monitoring environmental change. Although the background abnormality rate of adults in Z. maha is approximately 12.2% on average, we considered that the abnormality rate of adults more than 15% for field-collected samples and 20% for laboratory-reared samples warranted an explanation (see Point 6). A number of the critics claimed that the abnormalities reported in our previous paper  are within the normal variation levels for this species and that the frequent abnormalities observed in this species, even without any radiation exposure, make Z. maha unsuitable for this type of research. We do not agree. What are needed are reasonable control groups and the use of standard rearing conditions in the laboratory to produce consistently healthy Z. maha individuals (see Point 10).
Based on these advantages, we believe that Z. maha is one of the best environmental indicator species in Japan. The species is especially suitable for radionuclide contamination experiments because of its close association with human habitats, monophagous nature, high collectability (high frequency of encounter in the field), relatively simple rearing method, small body size (suitable for mass production), clear-cut colour-pattern evaluation system, weak flying ability (small level of dispersion), living close to the ground, multi-voltine nature, and short generation time. As a laboratory animal, Z. maha is likely the first lycaenid butterfly system that allows researchers to work on hundreds or thousands of individuals, allowing statistical evaluations (see Point 9). Nonetheless, we have not dismissed the possibility that other organisms may be equally or more suitable as an indicator species.
[Point 2] The possibility of latitude-dependent forewing-size reduction
Some commentators were unsure of our data on forewing-size reduction. We demonstrated that the forewings in the male individuals from Fukushima were smaller than in the males from Hirono, Takahagi, Tsukuba, and Tokyo . These differences were statistically significant. Moreover, the forewing-size reduction correlated with the radiation dose. Importantly, we reproduced the forewing-size reduction in the external and internal exposure experiments (see Point 11). Therefore, we are confident in our radiation-induced forewing size reduction data for this species.
However, we are sorry that we might have generated confusion by our representation of the box plot (Figure 1c in the original paper ) in which Fukushima appears to be the northernmost city from which samples were obtained. This could be interpreted by the readers as an “edge effect”. In reality, the northernmost city from which we sampled was Shiroishi, but in the original box plot, we did not include the Shiroishi samples. One of the three respectable reviewers of the original Scientific Reports paper  (all three reviewed the manuscript quite deeply before publication; this communication paper was also reviewed by three reviewers) suggested not presenting the box plot or removing the Shiroishi data from the box plot because of the small sample size. Because this was a reasonable request based on current statistical conventions, we agreed with the reviewer and removed the Shiroishi data from the figure.
Some critics argue that the forewing-size reduction observed in the individuals collected from the Fukushima area was a result of high-latitude or low-temperature effects because the Fukushima area appears to be close to the northern range margin for this species. This statement contains two errors. First, the Fukushima area is not close to and is actually far from the northern range margin for this species. The northernmost range margin is Fukaura in Aomori Prefecture [3, 8, 9], which is located 370 km north of the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP (Figure 1). Second, generally speaking, high latitude and low temperature are associated with a larger, not smaller, body size. If there were any size clines in natural populations because of a latitude or temperature effect, it would be a latitude-dependent size increase instead of a size reduction compared to the southern populations. In Japan, the smallest individuals are found in Okinawa Prefecture in the southernmost populations of Z. maha. The body size of the Okinawa population is so small that they are considered a unique subspecies. Consistent with this, in a given locality, the first-voltine population (spring morph) has the largest body size [8, 11, 14]. Our data, which now includes the Shiroishi samples, did not demonstrate a simple cline, as seen in correlation coefficient r = -0.43 and p = 0.21 between latitude and forewing size (Figure 5). Instead, our data demonstrated an abrupt and statistically significant size decrease in Fukushima (together with Motomiya and Koriyama; these three localities are closely located together), compared with both the northern and southern localities. We also note that size variation represented by error bars in Figure 5 was larger in Fukushima (and its close localities, Motomiya and Koriyama) than other localities. Indeed, there were exceptionally small individuals in Fukushima and its close localities. These facts implicitly indicate that a possible causal factor for the size reduction is not a general factor, such as latitude and climate, that is imposed equally on all individuals in a given locality, but it is a relatively specific factor, such as large-scale pollution, that is imposed differently on different individuals due to variation in genetic composition (inherent resistance or sensitivity) and habitat microenvironment (where larvae and pupae lived at the time of pollution).
Generally, the body size of animals, including insects, is larger under low-temperature conditions (known as temperature-size rule), and this rule applies to more than 80% of ectotherms including Drosophila[15–18]. Low-temperature rearing increases the body size of Drosophila[19–22]. Regrettably, some critics cited the case of D. subobscura, which demonstrates rapid size adaptation in North America [23, 24], to argue that our results (i.e., small forewing size in the Fukushima samples) were simply the natural size for the species because of the high latitude and cold temperatures. Contrary to their expectations, the D. subobscura case actually supports our finding because these studies confirm that larger (not smaller) size is found in high-latitude cold regions [23, 24].
To be sure, the temperature-size rule does not apply to some groups of insects. At least in univoltine or bivoltine orthopteran species (i.e., grasshoppers and crickets), body size is dependent on how many generations per year can be achieved, suggesting that body size is adaptation to season length [25, 26]. The pale grass blue is a multivoltine lepidopteran insect, suggesting that it is not an exception of the temperature-size rule.
We are certain that the forewing-size reduction we observed in Fukushima  reflected the body size reduction because their smallness was easily visualised during rearing, although this has not been demonstrated quantitatively. The use of an artificial diet that does not contain the complete nutrients that this butterfly needs appears to reduce the body size and thus the forewing size in Z. maha. Starvation at the larval stage can also produce small body size and small forewing size . Importantly, we reproduced this size reduction in the external and internal exposure experiments , although the mechanisms remain unclear. The irradiation effects in the midgut cause nutrient deficiency in adult weevils . A similar effect could contribute to the wing-size reduction in the irradiated Z. maha individuals.
The forewing-size reduction was a physiological effect (that could involve somatic mutations), not a genetic effect (that involves germ-line mutations), because the May samples were only exposed to the radiation during the larval and pupal stages. The May samples were the first-voltine individuals (spring morph) that were overwintering as mid- or last-instar larvae at the time of the accident. Therefore, these individuals were exposed to the radiation for approximately two months (March and April). In addition, the major radionuclide species at the time was iodine, which is much stronger in activity than caesium . These conditions might have caused the size reduction of the first-voltine individuals. In contrast, we did not observe a similar size reduction in the September samples. The reason is not apparent, considering that we reproduced similar size reduction in external and internal experiments. This may be because of sample heterogeneity or natural selection for larger individuals in the wild. Experimental use of radioactive iodine in addition to caesium could resolve this issue, but ironically, such an experiment would be difficult to perform under tight Japanese regulations on radioactive materials.
To conclusively determine the possibility of latitude-dependent or pollution-dependent size changes, we are now analysing many Z. maha individuals collected from various regions throughout Japan (with the cooperation of amateur lepidopterists).
[Point 3] The significance of growth retardation
[Point 4] The possibility that the colour-pattern aberrations were caused by temperatures
The pale grass blue Z. maha may be one of the species most frequently reported in lepidopterist journals for aberrant colour patterns. We previously reviewed two major Japanese monthly lepidopterology journals (Chouken Field and Butterflies) and found 16 reports of aberrant colour patterns in this species from 1987 to 2000 from many different localities , representing approximately one case per year. This high frequency of reports is likely proportional to the highest frequency of encountering this species in the field among butterfly species. Interestingly, all of the reports were cases of temperature-shock (TS)-type modifications (see Figure 8F).
The TS phenotype that was field-collected or induced in the laboratory by the application of temperature shock are classified into three types: inward, outward, and reduction types [3–5] (Figure 8F). In the inward TS type, the third and fourth spot arrays are elongated toward the discal spot. In the outward TS type, the spot arrays are elongated away from the discal spot, and in the reduction TS type, the spot arrays are reduced in size or are absent.
The TS-type individuals that are occasionally caught in the field are sporadic. However, the northern range margin population of this butterfly exceptionally exhibited a population-level emergence (more than 15%) of the TS-type individuals in Fukaura (Aomori Prefecture) from 2000 to 2005, especially in summer [3–5]. This TS phenotype is genetically fixed and thus expressed in summer without any temperature shocks. Interestingly, this outbreak was accompanied by the northern expansion of the distribution range, possibly in response to temperature warming. The Fukaura case can be considered a real-time field case of the evolution of colour patterns [3–5]. Notably, most modified individuals were normal with the exception of the colour pattern. It is important to emphasise that this outbreak was found only in Fukaura from 2000 to 2005. A similar case has not been reported in the northern range margin Hachinohe, and a similar outbreak has not been reported elsewhere. There is no evidence to suggest that Z. maha in the Tohoku district is generally abnormal or generally demonstrates a high incidence of abnormalities.
It is also important to stress that the TS-type colour-pattern modifications in the butterflies are expressed as plastic traits and not as pathological characteristics [3–5, 29–34]. This is an important consideration when distinguishing the Fukushima case from the TS-type modifications. The Fukushima case is pathological, and the TS phenotype (including the Fukaura case) is not. The TS phenotype can be explained by phenotypic plasticity but the Fukushima case cannot. It is also important to recognise that the various and unpredictable abnormal patterns obtained in the Fukushima individuals (Figure 8B) were similar to those observed in the external and internal exposure experiments (Figure 8C, D).
Furthermore, an important feature of the Fukushima aberrations is their diversity (Figure 8B). This diversity is expected if the radiation caused random mutations. Indeed, the diverse Fukushima aberrations were similar to the mutants produced by the random mutagen, ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS) (unpublished data) (Figure 8E). EMS is a strong mutagen that causes random point mutations by directly damaging the DNA [35, 36]. In the individuals collected from Fukushima, in the radiation-exposed individuals (both external and internal), and in the EMS-treated individuals, we observed similar diverse colour-pattern aberrations including spot fusion, spot addition, and spot disorganisation. We also observed wing-vein malformation. These diverse colour-pattern aberrations suggested that the damage was introduced at the DNA level. Moreover, the colour-pattern aberrations in the Fukushima individuals were inherited , suggesting that the aberrations were likely caused by genetic mutations.
Additionally, we previously showed that sibling crosses produced a unique pattern, which we termed the panda type  (Figure 8G). This phenotype is considered an indication of genetic deterioration. The panda type is easily distinguishable from other wing aberrations, and none of the field-collected and laboratory-reared samples from the original research  was similar to the panda type.
Taken together, the possibility that the colour-pattern aberrations we described in the original paper  were caused by temperatures is minimal and is not realistic. However, there is a possibility that a small number of the aberrations were actually the TS phenotype (despite the small degrees of modifications) that was caused by genetic mutations (not by temperatures) due to the artificial radionuclides from the NPP. We have discussed this possibility along with the genetic mutations in Point 7.
[Point 5] The possibility of locality-dependent variants or abnormalities
The critics argued that the abnormality differences or growth differences among the different localities might have existed even before the accident. However, considering the very high abnormality rates detected in some localities, this possibility is unrealistic. As discussed in Point 4, the wing colour-pattern aberrations of Z. maha reported in the two major Japanese lepidopterology journals from 1987 to 2000 were of the TS phenotype . The lepidopterology journals contained no reports of spot fusion, spot addition, spot disorganisation, or other abnormalities that were similar to the aberrations reported in our original paper .
In addition, other than the wing colour-pattern aberrations, most of the abnormalities detected in the F1 and F2 generations are likely fatal in the wild; the abnormal individuals could not reproduce offspring because of low fitness. It is difficult to believe that these high abnormality rates have been maintained in these populations for many years. The F1 generation also demonstrated low fertility (see Supplementary Table 5 in the original paper ), which means that the high abnormality and infertility rates detected in some localities would be impossible to maintain for long periods.
As expected, it has been demonstrated that Z. maha was the most successful species in the Fukushima area in 2004 and 2005 . Indeed, in 1936, Z. maha was found in Kinkazan (Miyagi Prefecture), located 108 km north of the NPP [37, 38], and Z. maha has been common in Fukushima Prefecture for at least half a century . Therefore, the most likely explanation is that the high abnormality and infertility rates developed recently, probably right after the nuclear accident, and the Z. maha populations in the Fukushima area are now deteriorating at least at the time of the publication of the original paper .
In addition to the abnormality rates of adults (Figure 9A), we compared the “total” abnormality rate (“total” means the inclusion of all abnormalities in the adults and the deaths of the larvae, prepupae, and pupae) in the May and September F1 generation samples (Figure 9B). In all five localities, the September samples exhibited larger abnormality rates than the May samples. We did not observe a latitude effect in the abnormalities in the P generation (r = 0.28, df = 8, p = 0.44) and the F1 generation (r = −0.0054, df = 6, p = 0.99) from the May samples (Figure 9C, D), although we admit that relatively small number of sampling localities might require a caution. If anything, the localities closer to the latitude of the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP showed higher abnormality rates. Furthermore, similar plots of the September samples indicated peaks near the latitude of the NPP (Figure 9E, F). Although they showed relatively high correlation coefficients (r = 0.70, df = 6, p = 0.06 for the P generation; r = 0.79, df = 4, p = 0.06 for the F1 generation), this is because of scarcity of localities in the northern areas. Because Z. maha is well adapted to the Fukushima area [10, 12] (see Points 1, 2, and 4), it is unreasonable to suggest latitude-dependent abnormalities in this species. The abnormality rates of adults are discussed further in Point 6.
The critics argued that because there is no record of populations from before the accident, our study is not valid. This comment is too extreme to consider rational because it suggests that any evolutionary studies that attempt to recapitulate the past based on data from existing organisms are invalid. Non-biologists should note that evolution has been a central theme in biology since Darwin. However, we agree that direct records from past populations would be informative.
[Point 6] The implications of the abnormality rate and the possible accumulation of genetic mutations
At the bottom of Figure 11, we collectively presented the data for the normal populations that were not affected by the artificial radionuclides. The background rates of the P and F1 generations varied from 1.4% to 19.8% with a mean value of 12.2%. The background rates for the P generations varied from 5.9% to 13.0% with a mean value of 8.2%, whereas the F1 generation background rate varied from 1.4% to 19.8% with a mean value of 13.5%. In general, the laboratory-reared adults scored higher abnormality rates of adults than the field-collected ones. This is understandable because when reared in a laboratory, the larvae avoid predators and other selection pressures. Hence, even genetically unhealthy individuals can survive to adulthood, contributing to the increase in the abnormality rate of adults. In contrast, in the field, only relatively healthy adults can be collected.
For convenience, it is safe to set the tentative threshold for the P generation at 15% and for the F1 generation at 20%. Therefore, if the abnormality rate of adults is less than 15% in the P generation and less than 20% in F1 generation, this is considered background. However, if the abnormality rate of adults is more than 15% in the P generation or more than 20% in the F1 generation, this cannot be explained by background, and additional causes may be sought. A caution would be that even if the average rates are below the threshold levels, it does not mean that there is no effect of irradiation. In a specific locality or in a specific individual, there may be biologically significant effects, for example, even in the May samples (see below).
We will now address our field work and the rearing experiments in terms of the abnormality rates of adults. In May, we obtained an average abnormality rate of 12.4% in the P generation and 18.3% in the F1 generation. Both rates are within the range of background levels, and we concluded that this 1.5-times increase from the P to the F1 generation was a background increase because of the laboratory rearing discussed above. However, it should be noted that the abnormality rates at the independent localities tended to score more than 20%. In September, we obtained an average abnormality rate of 28.1% in the P generation and 60.2% in the F1 generation. Both values were more than the background threshold levels and were much higher than the May values.
To statistically test the difference between the May and September results, we first hypothesized that the abnormality rates of the May samples represent spontaneous level that is observed all the time in any Z. maha populations (that is, they are considered to be population mean values) and that their abnormality rates of adults in the P and F1 generations follow a binominal distribution. Because a binominal distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution when the number of samples are reasonably large, we were able to obtain expected mean (= n × p) and standard deviation (from a square root of variance; variance = n × p × (1 − p)) as 15 ± 3.62 (mean ± SD) for the May P samples and 207 ± 12.87 for the May F1 samples. When the September P and F1 samples were tested against the May P and F1 distributions, respectively, they were significantly different (p < 0.0001 for both cases; one-sample t-test). Similar results were obtained using χ2 test (p < 0.0018 for the P generation and p < 0.0001 for the F1 generation after Yates correction). Therefore, the September data needs an explanation beyond the spontaneous abnormalities and the laboratory-rearing effect. The cumulative germ-line damage by radiation exposure in the field is one of the most reasonable explanations for the increased abnormality rates observed in the September samples.
Among the localities examined, Motomiya in May is noteworthy. As indicated in the original paper, the adult collected from Motomiya did not exhibit abnormality at all. In other words, the abnormality rate of the Motomiya adults in the P generation was 0%. However, their F1 offspring exhibited a relatively high abnormality rate of adults (18.3%). Although this value was still below the tentative threshold for background (20%), the increase from 0% to 18%, which was the largest increase among the eight localities (see Supplementary Tables 2 and 4 in the original paper ), may be important.
To examine if the abnormal traits were heritable, we obtained the F2 generation from the May samples and estimated the abnormality rate of adults as 33.5% on average (Figure 11). Because we selected abnormal F1 individuals as the parents of the F2 generation, this high rate cannot be compared with other generations. This experiment was performed to demonstrate whether the abnormal traits were heritable. For example, in the strain named “Iwaki1”, 23.5% of the F2 progeny exhibited abnormal traits that were identical to the F1 parent, and 43.1% of the F2 progeny exhibited abnormal traits that were homologous to the F1 parents. These relatively high percentages suggest that at least some of the abnormal traits were heritable.
The gradual accumulation of mutations in the contaminated area occurs because of the continuous exposure of germ-line cells to radiation from generation to generation, which was suggested in the field samples by the increase in the abnormality rates of adults from May (12.4%) to September (28.1%). The generations from March 2011 to September 2011 in the wild were exposed to radiation; therefore, the genetic mutations accumulated in the germ-line genomes. In contrast, our laboratory is located in Okinawa, which was not affected by the accident; therefore, our laboratory-reared generations were not expected to show accumulation of genetic mutations.
It is worthwhile to note that the effects of radiation can be divided into two categories, the effects on somatic cells and on germ-line cells. The former effect could cause physiological disease in an irradiated individual, whereas the latter effect could cause genetic diseases in the progeny. The abnormal traits in the radiation-exposed generation (the P generation) do not directly contribute to abnormalities in their progeny because the pathological traits originate from somatic cells. In contrast, when germ-line cells are damaged, even if radiation-exposed individuals do not demonstrate pathological traits, their progeny could exhibit abnormal traits, because the somatic cells produced from the sperm and oocytes after fertilisation contained mutations and expressed pathological traits. Accordingly, we observed many abnormal traits in the F1 and F2 generations that were not observed in the P generation. The abnormalities in the F1 and F2 generations were more severe than in the P generation and were more numerous than in the laboratory-reared normal population.
It is reasonable to believe that in Z. maha, as in other insects, germ-line cells are more sensitive to radiation exposure than somatic cells. At the cellular level, the effects of irradiation are known as the Bergonié-Tribondeau rule in which the effects are proportional to the cell division frequency and the expected division number and are inversely proportional to the degrees of differentiation [40–44]. In lepidopteran insects, it is known that sperm become mature during the last instar and that oocytes become mature immediately before fertilisation . At the time of the accident, the sperm were at least at the maturation stage. Because the germ-line cells are undifferentiated, they are more sensitive to radiation exposure than somatic cells.
[Point 7] Whether the abnormalities were because of genetic mutations
Although we discussed the possible accumulation of genetic mutations in Point 6, we have only indirect evidence at this point that the abnormal traits we observed in the Fukushima-collected individuals originated from the mutation of genes . In our experiment, at least some of the abnormal morphological traits found in the F1 generation were inherited by the F2 generation, indicating that these abnormal traits have genetic origins (see Point 6). The increase in the abnormality rate of adults from May to September also supports this interpretation. The germ-line damage in the first-voltine individuals caught in May 2011 is a likely possibility, as discussed above.
Importantly, the abnormal traits observed in the F1 and F2 individuals were similar to those observed in the EMS-induced mutagenesis experiment (unpublished data) (see Point 4, Figure 8). EMS is a widely used mutagen that causes random point mutations, supporting the notion that the abnormal traits observed in the field-collected individuals from the Fukushima area originated from genetic mutations.
Consistent with these results, we observed abnormal individuals with phenotypes similar to Bar and Distal-less mutants. A small number of the critics argued that many of the observed abnormal traits were biased to the legs, antenna, and wings; therefore, these non-random traits were unlikely to originate from random genetic mutations. We disagree. Phenotypic bias in a random mutagenesis experiment is common, and studies cannot obtain random abnormal traits. This bias arises for many reasons, including the limited ability to examine the morphology and nature of the mutated genes (e.g., expressivity, chromosomal locations, and physiological function). We have never claimed that the Distal-less gene is damaged more frequently than other genes. Instead, we claimed that when this gene and its related genes are mutated through a random mutation process, these mutations might be conspicuous as abnormal traits.
We admit that we observed spot elongation that was similar to the TS phenotype in many of the progeny from the Iwaki and Motomiya samples; however, these individuals were not comparable to the Fukaura individuals in the degrees of the modification. Because this spot-elongation aberration was inherited in our F2 generation experiment, it is likely that this aberrant phenotype was caused by genetic mutations. This argument is also supported by the female-biased inheritance of this trait; the TS phenotype is more frequently observed in females . It is worthwhile stressing that the TS phenotype induced by temperature is considered a phenocopy of a genetic mutant, which has been indicated by esteemed scientists, such as Goldschmidt, Waddington, Shapiro, and Nijhout ; therefore, there are a small number of genes that cause the TS phenotype when mutated. It is reasonable that we detected a small number of aberrant individuals similar to the TS phenotype, caused by irradiation-induced random mutagenesis, in the Iwaki and Motomiya samples. We admit that there is a possibility that cold-shock-induced phenotypes are genetically fixed and are inherited in the Iwaki and Motomiya samples by a mechanism that does not involve the artificial radionuclides from the NPP. Even so, this possibility is applicable only to the TS phenotype and not the other aberrant traits that were inherited in the F2 generation.
We do not exclude the possibility that a small number of the abnormal traits observed in the F1 and F2 generations of Z. maha may correspond to epigenetic changes [48–52]. Among low-dose radiation effects, genomic instability can be passed on to the progeny by epigenetic factors, and DNA aberrations, chromosomal aberrations and other aberrations have been observed after several generations from irradiated parents [53–56]. Genomic instability is observed at the level of the cell and the organism [57–65]. A small number of the abnormal traits observed in the F1 and F2 generations of Z. maha in our study  may correspond to similar epigenetic changes; however, to determine this, it will be necessary to investigate at the molecular level the precise mechanisms involved in the production of the abnormal traits.
[Point 8] The relevance of the sampling localities and the possible effects of the tsunami and earthquake
For the collection of the samples, we covered several localities in cities both south and north of the NPP. It is likely that the high contamination levels in the cities northwest of the NPP, including Fukushima, contributed to the Z. maha from these localities exhibiting small forewing size and various abnormalities . Although Shiroishi is located further north than Fukushima, we admit that the inclusion of more northern localities might have produced data that were more convincing (see Point 2).
A number of readers were concerned that the adverse effects were a result of the tsunami. All of our sampling localities were far from the coast and were not affected by the tsunami. These localities were of course affected by the earthquake but we do not believe that earthquakes exert harmful effects on this butterfly.
[Point 9] The relevance of the sample size
Number of Z. maha individuals used in Hiyama et al. (2012) 
Field work or laboratory experiment
Number of individuals
Field collection in May 2011 (PMay)
F1May from PMay
F2May from F1May
Field collection in September 2011 (PSeptember)
F1September from PSeptember
External exposure experiment
Internal exposure experiment
We used a relatively small number of field-collected females to produce the F1 generation. Therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that we accidentally collected pathological parents that produced eggs with genes mutated for reasons other than the irradiation from artificial radionuclides. However, we collected female (and male) parents from eight localities in May 2011 and six localities in September 2011; the number of females (and males) used for the egg collection from Shiroishi, Fukushima, Motomiya, Hirono, Iwaki, Takahagi, Mito, Tsukuba, and Kobe were 1(2), 5(3), 2(3), 4(3), 6(3), 4(3), 5(4), 5(3), and 0(0) for May and 0(0), 5(4), 5(2), 3(2), 4(2), 4(2), 0(0), 0(0), and 5(2) for September, respectively. The majority of them produced many progeny exhibiting abnormal traits at levels that were significantly higher than background (see Point 5, Figure 8 and Point 6, Figure 10). Although the number of females used to collect the eggs was relatively small, we believe that this sample size was acceptable.
A number of people claimed that the number of localities we used was insufficient. We partly agree in that higher numbers of localities would yield more accurate results; however, in practice, collecting hundreds of the pale grass blue butterflies within a relatively short time is demanding. In May 2011, four people visited 10 cities in 6 days to collect 144 adults and in September 2011, similarly four people visited 7 cities in 4 days to collect 238 adults. For future studies, we may consider that consistent monitoring in the same set of localities may be as important as increasing the number of localities.
[Point 10] The relevance of the rearing conditions
The rearing environment is important for the final fitness and phenotype of insects. We used the standard rearing conditions (26 ± 1°C, 16L-8D) under which we have obtained low mortality and low abnormality rates . A small number of the critics disrespectfully claimed that the experimental groups of larvae, especially in the exposure experiments, were not reared correctly, probably because we did not specifically mention rearing conditions for the external exposure experiments. This claim is without basis, and we completely disagree. In all the experiments, the containers were cleaned and supplied with fresh leaves daily or every two days, as were the control groups on the same day. As a matter of course, the rearing conditions for the experimental and control groups were identical.
We have been rearing Z. maha from the northern range margins (Fukaura, Aomori Prefecture) and other localities of the Honshu main island but to date, an increase in the death rate or abnormality rate has not been observed in Okinawa. Similarly, we have no evidence of adverse effects arising from feeding the Okinawa individuals the non-contaminated host plants from Honshu or from feeding the Honshu individuals the host plants from Okinawa.
[Point 11] The importance of the exposure experiments and the possible discrepancy in the radiation sensitivity
An example of a typical argument put forward by the critics was that “these experiments must be nonsense because insects are highly resistant to radiation exposure”. This attitude entirely ignores differences in the experimental conditions. Our experimental conditions (long-term low-dose experiments using Z. maha) are entirely new, and reconciliation with the previous data (short-term high-dose experiments) is entirely possible.
To our knowledge, internal exposure experiments of this type (i.e., feeding foods collected from various contaminated localities to animals collected from a non-contaminated locality) have not been performed previously. In this experiment, apart from the simultaneous external exposure in the field, we exactly reproduced what the Z. maha in the Fukushima area experience. It is important to emphasise that the conventional short-term high-dose exposure conditions are very different from the long-term low-dose exposure conditions we used in our experiments. Most previous studies in insects used the short-term high-dose radiation exposure of agricultural pests to produce infertile adults [40–42, 67–72]. In contrast, in our Z. maha experiments, the long-term low-dose exposures were performed continuously from the first- or second-instar larvae to pupae, immediately before eclosion in the external exposure experiment. Therefore, our results cannot be compared with other studies in that respect. At this point, we need to perform confirmatory experiments. We are just beginning to explore the biological effects of long-term low-dose radiation exposure on animals.
In our exposure experiments, the control groups (no exposure) were set and survival curves were compared, yielding statistically significant dose-dependent differences  (Figure 14). Both the external exposure (31.7%) and internal exposure (39.6%) demonstrated much higher rates compared with the controls (Figure 11), demonstrating physiological damage in somatic cells. Indeed, in the locality around the NPP, the animals received both external and internal exposures simultaneously, a tougher situation than our experimental settings, which may be why we detected relatively frequent colour-pattern aberrations in the field even in the samples from relatively low-dose regions.
Ecdysis, pupation, and eclosion are processes that require coordinated cellular activities to shed the external shell. Therefore, cells do not have to be killed directly by the radiation to produce lethality in an individual. The disruption of ecdysis, pupation, and eclosion causes death, for example, when the enzymes for ecdysis [45, 75] do not function well. Furthermore, in lepidopteran insects, the DNA is replicated many times in the last-instar larvae, and in the pupal period, the replicated DNAs are distributed to the cells by cell division . Therefore, this period of development is expected to be highly sensitive to radiation exposure.
It has been speculated that environmental stress promotes developmental abnormalities that cause eclosion failure in holometabolous insects . Our results are largely consistent with this speculation. Because stressful environment promotes evolution , it is likely that selection against abnormal individuals will be promoted in the Fukushima area.
We here point out that some effects of low-dose exposures have been described in cell culture systems. It has been demonstrated that less than 1 Gy can affect the cell. The biological effects include two types, hyper-radiosensitivity (HRS) and increased radioresistance (IRR) [78–83] in which exposure to less than 0.5 Gy decreases the survival rate considerably (HRS) but further exposure to 0.5-1 Gy increases the resistance (IRR). Although the molecular mechanisms are not apparent, Matsumoto  pointed out that HRS occurs because the DNA damage is too minor to activate the DNA repair system, and IRR occurs because the DNA damage is now recognised by the repair system. These low-dose biological effects have been observed in a wide variety of organisms, from protozoa to plants [84–92], including the lepidopteran cell line TN-368 .
Additionally, in low-dose exposure, non-targeted effects in non-irradiated cells have been described, which include DNA damage and cell division retardation in the non-irradiated cells (similar to the irradiated cells). The non-targeted effects include the bystander effect (observed following exposure to less than 0.2 Gy in particular) in the non-irradiated cells near the irradiated cells and genomic instability in the F1 and F2 offspring [27, 93–106]. These effects might have occurred in irradiated larvae and pupae in our study.
Yagi (2012)  suggested that under the conditions of the external exposure experiment, a Z. maha individual might have actually received approximately 1.4 Gy as a combination of β-ray and γ-ray radiations despite that we indicated radiation doses as 55 mSv and 125 mSv for γ-ray (Our measurements were performed using a Hitachi Aloka Medical TCS-161 scintillation survey meter (Tokyo) for measuring up to 30 μSv/h and a RAE Systems DoseRAE2 (San Jose, CA, USA) when measuring more than 30 μSv/h; and a Hitach Aloka Medical TGS-121 GM survey meter). We agree with Yagi’s suggestion because our dose values shown in the paper did not consider β-ray doses. The radiation might have been absorbed on the surface of the larvae and pupae. This interpretation of the damage to epidermal cells is consistent with the difficulties experienced in the ecdysis, pupation, and eclosion that led to death (see above). Yagi (2012)  referred to a study demonstrating that black-striped mutations occur after the 1.0 Gy irradiation of eggs in Bombyx mori. In other words, the doses we used may have been enough to introduce DNA damage or cause other harmful effects.
A number of the commentators argued that the doses we used in the external exposure experiments were higher than the doses experienced in the localities from which we collected our samples, and therefore, the experimental conditions we used did not accurately reproduce the results of the field work; we largely agree. However, it is expected that some of the localities closer to the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP would have experienced similar doses. The primary purpose of the external exposure experiment was not to quantitatively determine the effects of low-dose levels of irradiation but to qualitatively reproduce the abnormalities, forewing-size reduction, and lethal effects that were obtained in the field-collected samples.
Here, we would like to address three relevant issues. First, at this point, we have not examined whether the abnormal traits that were induced by the external and internal exposures were heritable. Second, in the internal exposure experiment, the highest dose, from the Iitate montane region, did not produce the lowest survival rate (see Figure 13 in this paper and Figure 5d in the original paper ). This deviation may be an indication of IRR. Third, a possible alternative explanation for the results of the internal exposure experiment is that the irradiation itself did not result in harmful effects but the irradiated host plant synthesised a stress-induced chemical that killed the larvae. It is true that some plants synthesise defence chemicals following stress; however, this interpretation is difficult for the following reasons. First, the results of the internal exposure experiment were similar to those of the external experiment, which have nothing to do with plant chemicals. Second, plant chemicals usually repel insects; however, if that were the case, the larvae would avoid eating the leaves and would die of hunger, which we did not observe in the internal exposure experiment. The larvae ate the leaves normally and died largely because of the failure of ecdysis, pupation, and eclosion. Third, there is no evidence that the low-dose radiation exposure of plants induces the synthesis of chemicals that are harmful to insects. Fourth, the indirect dose-dependence of the survival rates is more difficult to envision than a direct effect. Importantly, even if this alternative interpretation is correct, the biological effects of the radiation on Z. maha are still correct, although effects were indirect. In any case, more studies will be necessary to resolve these issues.
A possible story of Z. mahain the Fukushima area
Frequently, we have been asked about what really occurred in Fukushima; based on our results, what was the story of the Z. maha butterfly in the Fukushima area? Synthesising our results, we propose the following.
Following the explosion, the larvae were exposed both externally and internally to radiation, resulting in growth retardation and body-size (wing-size) reduction. In the first-voltine generation (the first generation exposed), both somatic and germ-line cells were damaged; however, the health effects of this damage in this generation were not very severe. In the second-voltine generation and in later generations, the Z. maha was fully exposed externally and internally to ionising radiation throughout its entire life stages, resulting in an increase in mortality and abnormalities. Furthermore, mutations in the germ-line cells were passed on to the progeny. Because mutations were introduced continuously because of the continuous irradiation, the mutations accumulated, causing a further increase in the mortality and abnormalities in the later generations. In the adults, the morphological abnormalities, such as the wing colour-pattern aberrations and non-morphological abnormalities, including infertility, became epidemic. At that point, many individuals suffered from genetic diseases in addition to physiological diseases because of the continuous irradiation of the somatic cells.
As a result, the number of individuals that constituted the population decreased. In regions very close to the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP (e.g., within 10 km of the NPP), it is likely that the Z. maha population decreased considerably. Even in the regions from which we sampled, a population-level decline is unavoidable. On the other hand, individuals that are more resistant to irradiation are naturally selected and these individuals survive. Because irradiation directly causes genetic mutations, rare advantageous mutations (e.g., more efficient DNA repair enzymes) will also be produced within a relatively short time. These advantageous genotypes and mutations will penetrate a population relatively quickly, and radiation resistance will evolve in the Fukushima populations. However, we do not know how many generations will be required for this evolution.
Based on our data, we conclude that the radionuclide contamination from the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP caused harmful effects on Z. maha at physiological and genetic levels. Our results may appear to contradict previous studies of radiation biology; however, the data may not really be contradictory because of differences in the experimental conditions. It is noteworthy that studies of low-dose radiation effects are increasing. However, this study involving both field and laboratory studies that proposes a coherent story using long-term low-dose exposure systems at the organismal level is novel, with the exception of studies of the Chernobyl accident . It is reasonable to suggest that our results are consistent with other field studies performed in Chernobyl and Fukushima [109–111]. Of course, we admit that our data are far from perfect and that further research will be necessary to confirm and clarify several points that were raised by our research .
Extrapolating the findings of our and other studies, ecosystems around the Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP face a tremendous challenge. We cannot evaluate the effects on humans directly from the results of the Z. maha study. However, considering the exceptionally large amounts of radioactive materials released into the environment, which according to a news release (August 26th 2011) from the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry was 168.5 times as large as the Hiroshima atomic bomb (this is likely a significant underestimate) [28, 112, 113], underestimating the effects on organisms (including humans) and ecosystems without any experimental evidence is not advisable. We should honestly acknowledge that we are just beginning to understand the effects of long-term low-dose radiation on organisms. Lepidopteran cells are more resistant than human cells to short-term high-dose exposures but in our study, the larvae and pupae were vulnerable to the long-term low-dose exposures at the organismal level. At this point, nobody can scientifically present conclusive data demonstrating that the long-term low-dose exposure in the Fukushima area is safe or unsafe for humans, not to mention for humans with physical or mental weaknesses and those who will be born in the next generation. “No data” should not be confused with “safe”.
We are very grateful to the editorial board of BMC Evolutionary Biology for understanding the necessity for this exceptional communication paper. We especially thank N. Nagata (Iwaki, Fukushima Prefecture) and I. Tsunoda (Aizu-Wakamatsu, Fukushima Prefecture) for providing the highly important and rare specimens of Z. maha caught before the Fukushima nuclear accident. We are very grateful to the Japanese amateur lepidopterists for kindly providing the Z. maha samples from various localities throughout Japan. The results will be published elsewhere. We thank the Ikari Corporation to allow us to refer to the information on the northern range margin. We also thank the people from around the world who appreciated, encouraged, or discouraged our study. In this report, we may not have answered all the questions, and we apologise to the commentators whose messages were not addressed properly. We thank the members of the BCPH Unit of Molecular Physiology for their discussions. This work was supported in part by the Takahashi Industrial and Economic Research Foundation, Tokyo, Japan and by the Grant for Environmental Research Projects from The Sumitomo Foundation, Tokyo, Japan.
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