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Table 1 Testing of temporal models

From: When Indian crabs were not yet Asian - biogeographic evidence for Eocene proximity of India and Southeast Asia

  ln [post. prob.] ± SE Para 45
Liot 45
Para 35
Liot 35
Para 25
Liot 25
Para 45
Liot 35
Para 35
Liot 45
Para 35
Liot 25
Para 25
Liot 25
Para 45 Liot 45 -14285.01 ± 0.19 - 0.95* 1.73*** 0.66* 1.24** 2.74*** 1.34**
Para 35 Liot 35 -14287.19 ± 0.15 -0,95 - 0.78* 0.78* 0.29 1.80*** 0.39
Para 25 Liot 25 -14288.99 ± 0.17 -1.73 -0.78 - -1.06 -0.49 1.02** -0.39
Para 45 Liot 35 -14286.54 ± 0.16 -0.66 -0.78 1.06** - 0.58* 2.08*** 0.67*
Para 35 Liot 45 -14287.86 ± 0.17 -1.24 -0.29 0.49* -0.58 - 1.51*** 0.10
Para 35 Liot 25 -14291.33 ± 0.15 -2.74 -1.80 -1.02 -2.08 -1.51 - -1.41
Para 25 Liot 35 -14288.09 ± 0.17 -1.34 -0.39 0.39 -0.67 -0.10 1.41** -
  1. Testing of the temporal models with different time constraints in million years for the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) for the subfamilies Parathelphusinae (Para) and Liotelphusinae (Liot). The first three models (first row) constrain the age of both MRCAs before, during and after the assumed final collision of India and Eurasia; the next four models assume different ages for the MRCA of Parathelphusinae and Liotelphusinae, i.e., either before or during collision of plates, or during and after this event. The natural logarithm of the models posterior probabilities and its standard error, and the common logarithm of the Bayes factor between models are given. Models in the left column are tested against the models in the first row (* substantial, ** strong, *** very strong support for one model over another). The first model, constraining the MRCA of both subfamilies into the Middle Eocene (45 Ma), i.e., before the final Indian-Eurasian collision, is superior to all other models.