Single nucleotide polymorphisms unravel hierarchical divergence and signatures of selection among Alaskan sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) populations
© Gomez-Uchida et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2011
Received: 30 May 2010
Accepted: 18 February 2011
Published: 18 February 2011
Disentangling the roles of geography and ecology driving population divergence and distinguishing adaptive from neutral evolution at the molecular level have been common goals among evolutionary and conservation biologists. Using single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) multilocus genotypes for 31 sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) populations from the Kvichak River, Alaska, we assessed the relative roles of geography (discrete boundaries or continuous distance) and ecology (spawning habitat and timing) driving genetic divergence in this species at varying spatial scales within the drainage. We also evaluated two outlier detection methods to characterize candidate SNPs responding to environmental selection, emphasizing which mechanism(s) may maintain the genetic variation of outlier loci.
For the entire drainage, Mantel tests suggested a greater role of geographic distance on population divergence than differences in spawn timing when each variable was correlated with pairwise genetic distances. Clustering and hierarchical analyses of molecular variance indicated that the largest genetic differentiation occurred between populations from distinct lakes or subdrainages. Within one population-rich lake, however, Mantel tests suggested a greater role of spawn timing than geographic distance on population divergence when each variable was correlated with pairwise genetic distances. Variable spawn timing among populations was linked to specific spawning habitats as revealed by principal coordinate analyses. We additionally identified two outlier SNPs located in the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II that appeared robust to violations of demographic assumptions from an initial pool of eight candidates for selection.
First, our results suggest that geography and ecology have influenced genetic divergence between Alaskan sockeye salmon populations in a hierarchical manner depending on the spatial scale. Second, we found consistent evidence for diversifying selection in two loci located in the MHC class II by means of outlier detection methods; yet, alternative scenarios for the evolution of these loci were also evaluated. Both conclusions argue that historical contingency and contemporary adaptation have likely driven differentiation between Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations, as revealed by a suite of SNPs. Our findings highlight the need for conservation of complex population structure, because it provides resilience in the face of environmental change, both natural and anthropogenic.
Disentangling the roles of geography and ecology driving population divergence and speciation has been a common goal among evolutionary biologists . Several studies spanning diverse taxa suggest that the influence of these factors is often hierarchical: geography, landscape features, and vicariance may be important at larger spatial scales, whereas ecology and life history may be important at finer spatial scales (fishes: [2, 3]; birds: [4, 5]; mammals: ; plants: ). Hierarchical structure and divergence below the species level have key implications for conservation and the definition of evolutionary significant units . For management applications, a hierarchical distribution of population-level diversity has been deemed critical for the resilience of commercially exploited species, which some authors have defined as biocomplexity [9–11]; hierarchical structure may also provide a strong buffer against interannual fluctuations in abundance or 'portfolio effect', therefore ensuring long-term sustainability of wild populations in an era of growing anthropogenic impacts .
Research on salmonid systems has greatly enhanced our understanding of hierarchical divergence; in fact, genetic variance is normally larger between salmon populations inhabiting different basins than between salmon populations from the same basin that differ in ecological attributes [2, 3, 13, 14]. This configuration is likely a result of historical contingency (e.g., postglacial recolonization) and contemporary evolution of life history types [2, 15]. Anadromous salmon populations are highly philopatric; adults return to their natal sites in freshwater to reproduce, thus promoting genetic isolation and local adaptation . In particular, adult sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka, Walbaum 1792) spawn among tributaries, outlet rivers, beaches, and even glacial habitats [13, 14, 17] after typically spending 2 or 3 years in the ocean [18, 19]. A combination of natural and sexual selection appears to maintain phenotypic divergence between populations, but especially between those using different types of spawning habitats (e.g., beaches and tributaries: [20, 21]). In addition, the timing of spawning often differs systematically between habitat types, and the regularity in timing of migration and spawning is critical to the structure and conservation of populations [22–24].
Molecular tools have become instrumental for quantifying population divergence and reproductive isolation in applied evolutionary biology studies. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are now the marker of choice among many geneticists for addressing evolutionary questions [25–28]. The majority of studies using these abundant bi-allelic markers have hitherto focused on model organisms  with fewer applications to nonmodel taxa (but see [29–31]). Because SNPs can be linked to functional genes, it is important to determine which markers have been likely targets of selection, otherwise, estimates of gene flow may be compromised . So-called 'genome scans' have enabled identification of putative markers under selection exhibiting larger or smaller estimates of divergence--often referred to as 'outliers'--than selectively neutral markers . Outliers have been related to adaptive divergence in several studies [34–36]; nevertheless, demography and neutral processes can leave similar signatures to selection in the genome. Population bottlenecks or expansions can be mistaken for selective sweeps [33, 37]. Furthermore, recent models of hierarchical structure suggest that, when gene flow occurs predominantly within rather than between groups of demes, the number of outliers could be upwardly biased .
Ecological and genetic summary statistics* for sockeye salmon populations
Battle Lake Beach
Battle Lake Tributary
Funnel Creek (E)§
Moraine Creek (E)§
Nanuktuk Creek (E)§
Chulitna Lodge Beach
Lower Kijik River
Iliamna River (L)§
Lower Talarik Creek
Our secondary goal was to evaluate the scope of neutral vs. adaptive differentiation in sockeye salmon as revealed by locus-specific estimates of divergence. Here we used two outlier detection methods to identify and characterize potential candidate SNPs responding to environmental selection, emphasizing which mechanism(s) may maintain the genetic variation of outlier loci. These analyses were conducted and reported first (see below) in order to avoid estimates of (neutral) divergence that may be biased by selection. Emphasis was placed on violations of the demographic assumptions of outlier detection models, including potential bottlenecks and hierarchical structure between populations [38, 51]. We subsequently conducted exploratory analyses of Hardy-Weinberg and linkage disequilibrium, estimated genetic diversity and differentiation, and tested for the relative effects of geography and ecology on population divergence, using SNP sets that included or excluded these outlier loci.
Detection and characterization of outliers
Summary of outlier SNP loci* or candidates for diversifying† or balancing‡ selection in sockeye salmon
Glycoprotein hormone alpha subunit
Elfstrom et al. 
HpaI repetitive elements
Elfstrom et al. 
Major Histocompatibility Complex class II
Major Histocompatibility Complex class II
Elfstrom et al. 
Elfstrom et al. 
Habicht et al. 
Habicht et al. 
Outlier SNPs were annotated to protein-encoding sequences with three exceptions (Table 2). Even though most mutations were intronic, One_MHC2-190 was located in exon β1 of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II which corresponded to a nonsynonymous substitution (aspartic acid to tyrosine) in the putative antigen recognition site . Only 61 nucleotides separated this and the paired locus One_MHC2-251 located within an intervening intron . Interestingly, allele frequencies appeared uncorrelated between One_MHC2-190 and One_MHC2-251 for some populations (Figure 3c-d); for instance, they fluctuated greatly between Sixmile Lake populations (1.0 to 0.01). Also, a group of populations from the east end of Iliamna Lake (16-Chinkelyes Creek, 20-Finger Beach, 23-Iliamna River, and 24-Knutson Beach) had much higher frequencies than the remaining populations for One_MHC2-251 (Figure 3d), but not One_MHC2-190 (Figure 3c).
Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium and linkage disequilibrium tests
No significant (p = 0.05) departures from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium were observed in any population or locus following exclusion of three mitochondrial SNPs (Table 1). However, we detected highly significant linkage disequilibrium for 3 nuclear locus-pairs across populations after a sequential Bonferroni correction for k tests (k = 703, p < 7.1 × 10-5): One_MHC2-190 (I = 0.433) and One_MHC2-251 (I = 0.465); One_Tf_ex10-7 (I = 0.632) and One_Tf_ex3-18 (I = 0.084); One_GPDH (I = 0.668) and One_GPDH2 (I = 0.082). Based on the information content per locus, I (Shannon-Weaver's index: in parentheses above), both One_MHC2-190 and One_MHC2-251 were kept for subsequent analyses, while One_Tf_ex3-18 and One_GPDH2 were excluded from further analyses. Exclusion of these loci decreased the pool of nuclear SNPs from 42 to 40.
Genetic diversity and differentiation
Estimates of SNP diversity and differentiation were obtained for three distinct nuclear sets of markers to account for possible effects of selection: 'No Outliers' or the putatively neutral set (38 SNPs: excluding One_MHC2-190 and One_MHC2-251), 'Outlier 1' (39 SNPs: including One_MHC2-190), and 'Outlier 2' (39 SNPs including One_MHC2-251). Differences between sets were emphasized if present; otherwise 'No Outliers' should be considered the default set.
Average estimates of genetic diversity* (± SE, standard error) from sockeye salmon hierarchical groups
Mean AR ± SE
Mean HE ± SE
Number of Populations
1.815 ± 0.009
0.227 ± 0.003
1.838 ± 0.028
0.239 ± 0.006
1.887 ± 0.000
0.253 ± 0.000
1.811 ± 0.021
0.213 ± 0.011
1.881 ± 0.004
0.257 ± 0.004
1.912 ± 0.040
0.245 ± 0.004
Estimates of global divergence were slightly higher for 'Outlier 1' (FST = 0.082; 95% CI: 0.047 - 0.123; p < 0.001) and 'Outlier 2' (FST = 0.080; 95% CI: 0.047 - 0.118; p < 0.001) than for the 'No Outliers' set (FST = 0.060; 95% CI: 0.041 - 0.095; p < 0.001). Pairwise FST for the entire drainage were significantly correlated between SNP sets based on simple Mantel tests and Pearson correlation coefficient, r ('No Outliers' vs. 'Outlier 1' r = 0.98, p < 0.001; 'No Outliers' vs. 'Outlier 2' r = 0.98, p < 0.001; 'Outlier 1' vs. 'Outlier 2' r = 0.97, p < 0.001). Global differentiation among mitochondrial SNPs was also highly significant (ΦPT = 0.054; p < 0.001) but lower than estimates found for nuclear SNPs.
Pairwise FST values were consistently significant between populations located in different lakes for all three SNP sets, even though multiple population comparisons within Iliamna Lake suggested no differentiation (see additional file 1). Notable examples included: (i) 1-Battle Lake Beach and 2-Battle Lake Tributary, two populations that spawn in contrasting habitats but are in close geographic proximity; (ii) 5-Moraine Creek and 6-Moraine Creek Early, and (iii) 7-Nanuktuk Creek and 8-Nanuktuk Creek Early, which may represent either two discrete populations migrating at different times or one large population with a protracted spawning period.
Effects of geography at large spatial scales (entire drainage)
Pearson correlations between genetic distances and two explanatory variables for sockeye salmon populations
Effects of ecology at fine spatial scales (Iliamna Lake)
Simple and partial Mantel tests performed within the population-rich Iliamna Lake suggested that spawn timing had a higher degree of correlation with pairwise genetic distances than geographic distances, albeit only for the 'Outlier 2' SNP set (Table 4). The effects of geography were still evident at this scale, however, despite the fact that they exhibited lower correlation values (Table 4).
Hierarchical divergence between Alaskan sockeye salmon populations: the roles of geography and ecology at varying spatial scales
Our premise, that geography and ecology should hierarchically influence population divergence between Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations, was largely supported by various spatial analyses using SNPs. Simple and partial Mantel tests suggested a greater role of geographic distance than differences in spawn timing for the entire drainage. The positive relationship between large-scale genetic and geographic distances was likely driven by discrete genetic differences between lakes as hierarchical AMOVA and the neighbour-joining tree implied: the largest differentiation occurred between populations from distinct lakes followed by differences between populations within lakes. Differences between the two subdrainages in the region (Alagnak and Kvichak) were prominent as well, especially after accounting for the differentiation of Lake Clark.
Large-scale divergence between sockeye salmon populations in the Kvichak River may have initially evolved from historical contingency, followed by contemporary adaptation. Recolonization of lakes and subdrainages was likely sequential as ice sheets retreated after the Late Wisconsin glacial maximum . The best example to illustrate this point is Lake Clark: glacier retreat has only occurred during the last few hundred years in some areas, such as the 13-Upper Tlikakila River . Lake Clark sockeye salmon populations may have therefore become established only very recently. Areas of difficult migratory passage on the Newhalen River below Lake Clark and Sixmile Lake may have also caused bottlenecks during or after the colonization events. Consistent with these findings, Lake Clark populations harboured the lowest estimates of SNP genetic diversity in our study; moreover, an earlier survey using microsatellite DNA indicated widespread presence of bottlenecked populations throughout Lake Clark . Differences in HE and AR were also noticeable between the Alagnak and Kvichak subdrainages, which can be attributed to differences in both number and size of populations. For instance, sockeye salmon have historically been much more abundant in the Kvichak than the Alagnak systems [57, 58], though recently there has been a surge in abundance among Alagnak populations .
Contemporary adaptation to distinct limnetic environments may also help explain the high fidelity of returning adults. Reproductive isolation between nursery lakes is typical of lake-type sockeye salmon, which spend half of their lives rearing in freshwater before migrating to sea [13, 44, 60–62]. Lake-type sockeye salmon are characterized by a low tendency to disperse, limiting gene flow and enhancing reproductive isolation between populations . Olfactory imprinting during juvenile stages allows lake-type adult salmon to recognize their natal sites [18, 19]. In addition to homing, timing of spawning further isolate populations occupying different lakes , although its importance may be secondary as suggested by Mantel tests. For instance, Lake Clark populations tend to spawn during early fall, in contrast to populations from Sixmile and Iliamna lakes that spawn from middle to late summer, thus supporting the idea that temporal segregation reduces gene flow [46, 47, 49, 63, 64].
The role of ecology (spawn timing and habitat) was more prominent at fine scales or for intralake patterns of divergence, with geographic distance having a significant but secondary role. This conclusion was drawn from analyses conducted within Iliamna Lake, a large and population-rich lake harbouring three different spawning habitats. Mantel tests for one SNP set ('Outlier 2') strongly suggested that variable timing of spawning, particularly among populations of the three spawning-habitat types (see summary in additional file 3), may be the most important barrier to dispersal between these populations. Salmon populations are generally composed of early, late, and even intermediate migrants that breed asynchronously [24, 47]. Variable timing of reproduction between spawning-habitat types is thought to be function of historical thermal regimes at the incubation sites of the progeny [23, 24]. Temperatures and various other physical attributes vary substantially among tributary, mainland-beach, and island-beach habitats (additional file 3: see also [65–67], which together have promoted locally adapted populations. PCO and isolation-by-distance plots reiterated our expectation that dispersal was more likely to occur between sockeye salmon populations spawning within the same habitat as seen in the Wood River, Alaska . This was particularly striking for the homogeneous group of island beaches as they consistently clustered far from tributaries and mainland beaches. Historical abundances among island-beach populations spanning 45 years of aerial surveys appeared highly correlated , which mirrors the genetic homogeneity found in this and other studies . Unique habitat characteristics of island beaches have likely driven this marked divergence (additional file 3). Island-beach populations spawn during an unusually contracted period (about 2 weeks), from early to middle August, in mild wind-circulated water. Temperatures in the range 10 - 13°C allow embryos to hatch prior to freezing in early December; conversely, embryos hatch much later among mainland beaches and tributaries . Island-beach sockeye salmon are also younger and smaller for a given age than tributary sockeye salmon, suggestive of distinct norms of reaction between growth and maturation . Island and mainland beaches further differ in gravel size of incubation sites, which selects for larger eggs among females in island- than mainland-beach spawners .
Differences between mainland beaches and tributaries were more obvious for 'Outlier 2' (39 SNPs, including the intronic One_MHC2-251) than for the other two sets: 'No Outliers' (38 SNPs, excluding One_MHC2-190 and One_MHC2-251) suggested mild separation, whereas 'Outlier 1' (39 SNPs, including the exonic One_MHC2-190) indicated no clear separation. Assuming MHC introns have shorter coalescent times than exons (see following section, Nonsynonymous and linked SNPs in the MHC class II), populations from mainland beaches may have diversified only recently from tributaries, and different SNP sets reflect different times since divergence. Consistent with this hypothesis, mainland beach populations appeared undifferentiated from 16-Chinkelyes Creek, a tributary of the Iliamna River, implying that habitat-driven isolation is incomplete. It is possible that populations from 16-Chinkelyes Creek and adjacent tributaries colonized 20-Finger Beach given that only ca. 5 km separates it from the mouth of Iliamna River, where 16-Chinkelyes Creek drains. Interestingly, 23-Iliamna River also clustered more closely to mainland beaches than the majority of tributary spawners. We speculate that the four populations from the east of Iliamna Lake (16-Chinkelyes Creek, 20-Finger Beach, 24-Knutson Beach, and 23-Iliamna River) shared a common ancestor. Likely, divergent attributes of their breeding sites as well as discrete patterns of spawn timing have driven them apart over time.
Overall, the fact that geography and ecology have influenced genetic divergence and structure of Kvichak River sockeye salmon in a hierarchical manner has fundamental and applied implications. First, it provides a compelling mechanism for reproductive isolation at varying scales, including isolation-by-distance  and isolation-by-time . Also, and because there is substantial phenotypic divergence between spawning ecotypes (additional file 3), it is possible that gene flow is maladaptive between these populations (i.e., immigrants have lower reproductive success than residents). This hypothesis is consistent with findings from another lake system that drains into Bristol Bay, where dispersers between beach and tributary habitats resemble phenotypically their recipient rather than their source populations . Second, it reinforces the importance of maintaining the integrity of all hierarchical levels of intraspecific biodiversity or biocomplexity , which have evolved during thousands of years , but are currently threatened by anthropogenic changes that have intensified during the last century .
Nonsynonymous and linked SNPs in the MHC class II: evidence for adaptive divergence at the molecular level?
Two SNPs found in one exon (One_MHC2-190) and one intron (One_MHC2-251) within the MHC class II locus appeared robust to violations of demographic assumptions (e.g., bottlenecks, hierarchical structure) and consistently appeared as outliers during genome scans. MHC class II genes are translated on the surface of antigen-presenting B cells and macrophages and play a key role in the successful mounting of the immune response of vertebrates . Several investigations support the adaptive nature of MHC polymorphisms resulting from pathogen-mediated selection [53, 71–74]. Adaptive variation in the MHC is thus likely to affect mate choice, because parents would try to increase pathogen resistance in the offspring, avoid inbreeding, or both . Miller et al.  concluded that balancing selection is a strong candidate to maintain the allele diversity of the MHC class II locus in Fraser River sockeye salmon (Canada), including the substitution found at One_MHC2-190 located in the antigen recognition site. Yet, evidence for diversifying selection or neutrality of alleles could not be ruled out for some populations .
We hypothesize that large FST estimates for MHC SNPs (One_MHC2-190 FST = 0.434; One_MHC2-251 FST = 0.387) in comparison with putatively neutral loci are consistent with signatures of diversifying selection; such force is expected to drive adaptive mutations and tightly linked sites to fixation by positive selection, hence increasing differentiation between populations . Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations may have evolved resistance or immunocompetence to specific pathogens that vary in space . Three other studies in salmonids have found signatures of diversifying selection at MHC class I and II gene-linked markers that were also characterized by elevated estimates of population differentiation [75–77].
Even though the argument for diversifying selection seems compelling, it is based on a genome scan involving only 42 nuclear loci, a limitation of most genetic surveys in nonmodel organisms [31, 32]. Evaluating alternative hypotheses for the evolution of MHC genes among Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations may be appropriate in the light of some additional findings. In particular, we found that nuclear SNP sets with and without outliers were significantly correlated for the entire drainage. Landry & Bernatchez  compared MHC class II and microsatellite alleles for Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) from Central Québec (Canada), and concluded that between-river differentiation was highly correlated between alleles of different marker types, whereas within-river differentiation was not. For Kvichak River sockeye salmon, it is feasible that neutral evolution has played a more prominent role than selection influencing large-scale divergence. Moreover, recent studies argue that the evolution of MHC variation may proceed in neutral fashion: estimates of population divergence from MHC genes appear no different from estimates using neutrally evolving microsatellite DNA markers [79–81].
Could differences between SNP sets found at fine spatial scales be also attributed to selection at the molecular level? Within Iliamna Lake only, differences were evident among 'No Outliers', 'Outlier 1', and 'Outlier 2' sets, including results from PCO and Mantel tests relating spawn timing and genetic distances. These differences were expected if diversifying selection affects those sets containing MHC outliers ('Outlier 1', 'Outlier 2', or both) but not the putatively neutral set ('No Outliers'). The observed dichotomy between sets containing the MHC exon ('Outlier 1') and MHC intron ('Outlier 2') was however unexpected based on the premise that diversifying selection should fix variation in tightly linked sites around the adaptive mutation; here, we have assumed that the MHC exon may have a selective advantage, whereas the MHC intron is subjected to hitchhiking selection . We propose that differences between 'Outlier 1' and 'Outlier 2' may reflect varying coalescent times and thus provide distinct measures of time since population divergence. Introns coalesce more rapidly than exons, because variation in the latter can be maintained by balancing selection, a mechanism that has been demonstrated in MHC exon-intron boundaries where recombination occurs [82, 83].
In summary, diversifying selection--as suggested by outlier analyses--acting on two SNPs found in the MHC class II locus complex remains one possible hypothesis with support from other three studies in salmonids. However, neutral evolution of these polymorphisms and impacts of balancing selection represent alternatives that may operate at varying spatial scales. Resolving between these hypotheses is beyond the scope of this investigation; we encourage further studies in sockeye salmon that address mate choice  as well as pathogen-host interactions [72–74] to discern between these alternatives.
Two main conclusions emerge from this study. First, we have demonstrated that geography and ecology have hierarchically influenced genetic divergence between Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations depending on the spatial scale. Contrasts between lakes, subdrainages, and geographic distance dominated large-scale differentiation, whereas differences in the timing of spawning linked to discrete spawning habitat dominated fine-scale (intralake) differentiation. Second, we determined signatures of selection in two SNPs located in the MHC class II that appeared robust to violations of demographic assumptions. We propose that one possible mechanism that has driven the evolution of these SNPs is diversifying selection in response to local pathogens; however, neutral evolution of these polymorphisms at large spatial scales, as well as effects of balancing selection at fine spatial scales, cannot be ruled out at this stage. Both conclusions imply that historical contingency and contemporary adaptation have driven differentiation between Kvichak River sockeye salmon populations, as revealed by a suite of SNPs. Our findings highlight the need for conservation of complex population structure, because it provides resilience in the face of environmental change, both natural and anthropogenic.
Samples and population attributes
Adult sockeye salmon (n = 3,945) were taken from a larger collection of reference populations used for identification of juvenile mixtures in the high seas of the northern Pacific Ocean . Briefly, spawning grounds associated with six major lakes--Battle, Kukaklek, Nonvianuk, Iliamna, Sixmile, and Clark--were surveyed between 1999 and 2006 (Figure 1 and Table 1). Temporal replicates taken in the same location one or more years apart were pooled following earlier assessment guidelines , but samples from discrete early- or late-migrant collections were kept separate. Populations were classified according to the type of spawning habitat: mainland beaches, island beaches, or tributaries (Table 1). In both beach types the salmon spawn in the lake itself, but the mainland- and island-beach habitats differ markedly in a number of physical attributes including temperature, gravel size, and flow regime. Consequently, the salmon using these beaches differ in life-history traits such as size at age, age composition, egg size, and spawn timing [45, 69]. Habitat characteristics of the three spawning ecotypes and their life-history attributes can be found in additional file 3. We estimated historical dates (day and month) of peak spawning activity (spawn timing, hereafter) as the median of the spawning period reported by Regnart  for the Kvichak subdrainage, or the approximate date with the highest live-to-dead fish ratio reported by Clark  for the Alagnak subdrainage. Peak spawning dates reported by Ramstad et al.  were also used as reference for some populations. When spawning periods were unavailable for some populations of the Kvichak subrainage, we calculated the median of the spawning period for the geographic group they belong to. For some late- or early-migrant populations (Table 1) we used the collection date as spawning date.
Uniplex and array-based genotyping followed Seeb et al. . All individuals were genotyped for a panel of 45 SNPs spanning 42 nuclear and three mitochondrial loci [39–41]. Quality control consisted of re-genotyping of 8% of each population to ensure accuracy and reproducibility. Genotyping error was estimated in less than 0.5% .
Detection of outliers (genome scans)
We employed BAYESCAN to identify outliers or those SNPs characterized by higher or lower levels of population divergence than strictly neutral loci, suggestive of diversifying or balancing selection, respectively . BAYESCAN incorporates locus- as well as population-specific regression terms, therefore avoiding unrealistic assumptions of previous methods, such as an island model of migration, symmetrical gene flow, and equal population sizes [31, 51]. Prior to simulations, we removed mitochondrial SNPs and monomorphic nuclear SNPs (using a cutoff criterion of >0.98 for the most common allele). Inclusion of monomorphic markers resulted in 40% of our SNPs being outliers, which we considered an unrealistic outcome (authors' unpublished results; see also ). After 10 pilot runs of 5000 iterations each, default values of proposed distributions were updated throughout 100,000 Markov Chain Monte Carlo steps after an initial burn-in of 50,000 steps. We assumed chains converged if acceptance rates ranged between 0.25 and 0.45. The top criterion of 'decisive' (log10 Bayes Factor: 2 - 5), which corresponds roughly to a posterior probability range of 0.99 - 1, was indicative that a locus was affected by selection. BAYESCAN simulations were repeated after iteratively removing groups of populations (lakes or subdrainages) to investigate if outliers had a specific geographic origin. This was done in conjunction with allele frequency plots across multiple populations to ascertain geographic trends.
We also used Arlequin 3.5  to detect outlier loci taking into account the hierarchical structure of the Kvichak River, wherein dispersal is likely to be more predominant within subdrainages than between subdrainages. Even though BAYESCAN incorporates population-specific terms, it is unclear whether it takes into account hierarchical structure in its decision-making process. We ran 20,000 simulations assuming 100 demes per group, two hierarchical groups (subdrainages), and a hierarchical island model. These analyses were performed following the exclusion of strongly differentiated populations (Lake Clark) that were flagged in the previous analysis using BAYESCAN.
Outlier loci were classified as exonic or intronic using BLASTX or TBLASTX (National Center for Biotechnology Information) to gauge the scope of selection acting directly on these markers. We followed Smith et al.  guidelines that considered an alignment significant if an E-value < 10-5 was found.
Linkage disequilibrium and Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium tests
We tested for deviations from linkage equilibrium between markers in each population using GENEPOP 4.0 . Exact probabilities using a Markov Chain consisting of 100 batches and 5000 iterations per batch were calculated. Correction for multiple tests was done using a sequential Bonferroni correction for multiple k tests . For SNPs in significant linkage disequilibrium, we removed the least informative of the pair based on Shannon-Weaver's index (I) per locus supplied by GENALEX 6.3 . Linked mitochondrial SNPs were combined into haplotypes following Habicht et al.  and analyzed separately from nuclear SNPs.
Deviations from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium among nuclear SNPs were estimated in GENALEX with probabilities for locus-specific χ2 tests. Multilocus HWE goodness-of-fit probabilities were calculated by summing across loci (degrees of freedom = number of loci).
Genetic diversity and differentiation
Estimation of allele frequencies and heterozygosities (observed and expected) for nuclear SNPs was done in GENALEX. Allelic richness or the number of alleles corrected for sample size was additionally estimated using a rarefaction method implemented in FSTAT 2.9.3 [90, 91]. Correlation between allelic richness and expected heterozygosity was judged employing Spearman R coefficient in SPSS 17.0. For mitochondrial SNPs, we calculated haplotype frequencies in GENALEX via the AMOVA option for haploid data. Differences in genetic diversity between spatial groups (e.g., subdrainages, lakes) were evaluated using nonparametric Kruskall-Wallis χ2 tests or Mann-Whitney U-tests for multiple and pairwise comparisons, respectively, using SPSS 17.0.
For nuclear SNPs, global FST plus confidence intervals (95% CI) were obtained from FSTAT, whereas pairwise FST values were calculated in GENALEX along with population differentiation tests based on 1000 permutations. Global differentiation tests for FST were calculated in GENEPOP using Fisher's method. For mitochondrial SNP haplotypes we quantified global differentiation using ΦPT  in GENALEX.
Hierarchical analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA)
We employed the AMOVA option in GENALEX to partition the total genetic variance within and between regions. Hierarchical regions corresponded to either subdrainages or lakes. AMOVA first included populations from the entire drainage; variance components were recalculated after excluding highly differentiated populations to account for an uneven distribution of the total genetic variance. Our objective was to define which grouping explained the highest proportion of the variance. Permutations (1000 times) of elements between and within regions were carried out using Φ-statistics  to enable comparisons between nuclear and mitochondrial SNPs.
Spatial genetic structure
Using PHYLIP  we built an unrooted neighbour-joining tree from a matrix of Cavalli-Sforza & Edwards  chord distances between populations for the entire drainage. Branch bootstrap support--the percentage each branch appeared in a consensus tree built from 1000 resampled ones--was also estimated; bootstrap support values higher than 50% were reported to highlight those branches that consistently appeared in the bootstrap consensus tree. Branch lengths and tree topologies were visualized in Treeview . Additionally, we used TreeFit  to calculate a R2-value that explains how well the branch lengths of a bifurcating tree captures the variation of the distance matrix. Kalinowski  suggests that only trees with R2 >0.90 reliably reflect the underlying spatial genetic structure of a distance matrix.
We used a principal coordinate analysis (PCO) in GENALEX to summarize multidimensional genetic data between populations within Iliamna Lake. Pairwise FST were preferred at fine scales instead of Cavalli-Sforza & Edwards  chord distances. Scores from the first two eigenvectors were plotted, which often accounted for 50% or more of the total variation in the data.
Testing the relative influence of geographic distance and ecological factors (spawn timing and habitat) on population divergence
Geographic distances (km) corresponded to direct waterway distances calculated in the DeLorme Topo USA® 6.0 software (Alagnak subdrainage) or were taken from a spatial analysis of historical abundances among populations of the Kvichak subdrainage . The difference in spawn timing (days) corresponded to the absolute difference between peak spawning dates of two populations. Associations between these variables and genetic distances were tested in the software ZT  using simple and partial Mantel tests. Whereas simple Mantel tests can be used to estimate the strength of the correlation between two matrices of distances, partial Mantel tests enable inclusion of a third matrix that is held constant . A partial test may be more informative than a simple Mantel test to gauge the relative importance of the two factors that simultaneously influence genetic structure. Mantel tests were performed for the entire drainage (large scale) and for Iliamna Lake populations only (fine scale), which concentrated the highest number of populations and the greatest diversity of spawning-habitat types. We reported Pearson correlation coefficients (r) and their p-values after 10000 randomizations. Independence of geographic distances and differences in spawn timing was verified at large scales (entire drainage: r = -0.015, p = 0.464) and fine scales (Iliamna Lake: r = 0.14, p = 0.13).
Because spawning-habitat type was a categorical variable, it was not included in Mantel tests. However, we explored whether dispersal gauged through isolation-by-distance patterns  was more likely to occur between populations spawning in the same habitat than different habitats (tributary, island beach, and mainland beach) in Iliamna Lake. Because tributary populations outnumbered the other two, we recalculated correlation values between pairwise FST and geographic distance for tributary-to-tributary, tributary-to-island-beach, and tributary-to-mainland-beach population comparisons. Linearized (FST/1 - FST: Rousset et al. ) or standard pairwise FST generated identical results; we thus opted for the latter measure for simplicity.
Experimental research reported in this manuscript consisted of genetic analyses of animal tissues collected from wild populations. Collection was done in compliance with protocols from the University of Washington Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee and permits from the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
Building the baseline for sockeye salmon in Bristol Bay has been ongoing since the mid-1990s and has been financially supported through funding from the State of Alaska, Alaska Disaster Grant, National Park Service, US Fish and Wildlife Service Office of Subsistence Management, North Pacific Anadromous Fish Commission, North Pacific Research Board, National Marine Fisheries Service, and Bristol Bay Science and Research Institute. We thank the many people who helped collect samples used in the baseline, including S. Morstad and other staff from Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G) King Salmon office; Gregory Buck and Harry B. Rich, Jr. (University of Washington); C. A. Woody (U.S. Geological Survey), D. Young (National Park Service); and K. Ramstad (University of Montana). We thank the dedicated ADF&G laboratory staff who processed the samples and I. Stewart for facilitating a matrix of geographic distances between populations for the Kvichak subdrainage. We also thank M. Ackerman, L. Creelman, J. Lin, M. McGlauflin, K. O'Malley, and two anonymous reviewers for suggestions on earlier versions of the manuscript. C. Pascal helped with the analysis of SNPs within MHC class II genes. S. Kalinowski and T. Seamons stimulated discussions about the methodological approaches used in the study. Funding for the analysis and writing of this manuscript was provided by a grant to the University of Washington from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation.
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