Comparative genetic structure of two mangrove species in Caribbean and Pacific estuaries of Panama
© Cerón-Souza et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2012
Received: 15 June 2012
Accepted: 11 October 2012
Published: 18 October 2012
Mangroves are ecologically important and highly threatened forest communities. Observational and genetic evidence has confirmed the long distance dispersal capacity of water-dispersed mangrove seeds, but less is known about the relative importance of pollen vs. seed gene flow in connecting populations. We analyzed 980 Avicennia germinans for 11 microsatellite loci and 940 Rhizophora mangle for six microsatellite loci and subsampled two non-coding cpDNA regions in order to understand population structure, and gene flow within and among four major estuaries on the Caribbean and Pacific coasts of Panama.
Both species showed similar rates of outcrossing (t= 0.7 in A. germinans and 0.8 in R. mangle) and strong patterns of spatial genetic structure within estuaries, although A. germinans had greater genetic structure in nuclear and cpDNA markers (7 demes > 4 demes and Sp= 0.02 > 0.002), and much greater cpDNA diversity (H d = 0.8 > 0.2) than R. mangle. The Central American Isthmus serves as an exceptionally strong barrier to gene flow, with high levels nuclear (F ST = 0.3-0.5) and plastid (F ST = 0.5-0.8) genetic differentiation observed within each species between coasts and no shared cpDNA haplotypes between species on each coast. Finally, evidence of low ratios of pollen to seed dispersal (r = −0.6 in A. germinans and 7.7 in R. mangle), coupled with the strong observed structure in nuclear and plastid DNA among most estuaries, suggests low levels of gene flow in these mangrove species.
We conclude that gene dispersal in mangroves is usually limited within estuaries and that coastal geomorphology and rare long distance dispersal events could also influence levels of structure.
Mangrove communities are composed of phylogenetically unrelated species, each adapted in different ways to the coastal environment where high salinity, diurnal patterns of submergence, wave action, and frequent disturbance create high stress environments [1, 2]. Mangrove forests have an extended tropical and subtropical geographic distribution during the last 40 My [3, 4]. They are also among the most biologically productive forests and provide key ecosystem services such as breeding grounds for fish, shrimp, and birds and function to protect coasts from tidal surges during hurricanes or extreme weather [5, 6]. However, mangrove forests are being destroyed and fragmented at alarmingly high rates in the tropics due to human development [7–10]. Moreover, mangrove forests may be particularly susceptible to increasing sea levels . The ability of mangroves to adapt and regenerate in the face of disturbance and changing environmental conditions is therefore dependent upon rates of local and long distance dispersal, colonization and genetic diversity found within and among populations.
In most trees, it is generally assumed that rates of pollen gene dispersal are greater, and often much greater, than rates of gene flow via seed. However, several lines of evidence suggest that mangrove species are capable of frequent long distance seed dispersal (LDD) on scales of many km that may exceed rates of gene flow via pollen. For example, exceptionally high levels of gene flow have been reported between West Africa and South America at scales > 6,000 km [12, 13]. In addition, mark and recapture experiments in ocean currents in the Caribbean and in the Gulf of Mexico have revealed high dispersal potential for mangrove seeds [14–17]. Direct measurements at very local scales within mature mangrove forests have shown very short seed dispersal distances i.e. less than 10 m in two weeks, . Therefore, the extent of gene flow via seed observed among populations may be due to the frequency at which seeds encounter large open ocean currents when dispersed from more isolated estuaries where water flow is largely due to diurnal tidal action.
Based on these life-history characteristics and previous reports of seed dispersal capacity, we expected that: i) both species would display low genetic structure or little evidence for isolation by distance (IBD) within estuaries and ii) both species would have a higher rate of seed gene flow than pollen gene flow because of their capacity for LDD via sea-drift seeds [12, 13]. In addition, at the species level comparison we expected that Avicennia germinans would have greater degree of population differentiation than R. mangle because a combination of lower seed longevity and viability in ocean water, insect pollen dispersal mechanism, and low-density distribution [19, 33].
Genetic differentiation and mating systems
Nuclear microsatellite F ST and Chloroplast (cpDNA) F ST estimated as G ST in two mangrove species
Hamilton & Miller’s method
Ennos ’s method
Expected cpDNA F ST
Observed cpDNA G ST
r = Pollen flow/Seed flow
General patterns of diversity among four estuaries
Both species showed striking differences in genetic diversity. Avicennia germinans showed considerable variation in microsatellite alleles among four estuaries, with the highest H e observed in the Caribbean Costa Arriba estuary (0.730) and lowest in the Pacific San Miguel Gulf (0.459). In contrast, R. mangle showed lower overall gene diversity in Caribbean populations (0.349 and 0.305 for Bocas del Toro and Costa Arriba, respectively) relative to Pacific estuaries (0.654 and 0.610 for Montijo Gulf and San Miguel gulf, respectively), however, no significant differences in outcrossing rates within species were observed among estuaries (Table 1 and Additional file 1). The higher gene diversity and number of alleles in Pacific estuaries of R. mangle is complicated by the complex hybridization evident in both Pacific estuaries (Figure 1), which serves as a novel source of genetic diversity in Pacific populations .
Hierarchical structure of genetic variation based on microsatellites
Analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) for two mangrove species after 10,000 permutations using ARLEQUIN 3.5
Pairwise genetic structure for two mangrove species across four estuaries in Panama using F ST
Bocas del Toro
San Miguel Gulf
Bocas del Toro
0.063 (0.035 - 0.099)
0.372 (0.298 - 0.453)
0.287 (0.214 - 0.367)
San Miguel Gulf
0.442 (0.340 - 0.549)
0.361 (0.268 - 0.460)
0.140 (0.083 - 0.201)
Bocas del Toro
0.011 (0.003 - 0.019)
0.453 (0.327 - 0.546)
0.460 (0.334 - 0.553)
San Miguel Gulf
0.470 (0.383 - 0.555)
0.479 (0.388 - 0.564)
0.071 (0.046 - 0.104)
In spite of these similar strong structures across oceans and estuaries, both species showed differences in how genetic diversity is subdivided between estuaries from the same coast. Pairwise F ST indicates that population differentiation is lower between estuaries in the Caribbean coast than between estuaries in the Pacific coast (i.e. F ST = 0.07 and F ST = 0.008 between two Caribbean estuaries and F ST = 0.134 and F ST = 0.08 between two Pacific estuaries for A. germinans and R. mangle respectively).
The Bayesian structure analysis supports differences in how structure is organized at two levels (2) Between estuaries from the same coastal line and (3) within estuaries. Avicennia germinans, with the exception of the Costa Arriba estuary, shows evidence of two demes within each one of the other three estuaries (Figure 1 and Additional file 5). In comparison, R. mangle showed evidence of three demes within each one of the two Pacific estuaries but only one extended population across Caribbean coastline without any differentiation between Bocas del Toro and Costa Arriba estuaries and without any substructure within each one of these two estuaries (Figure 1 and Additional file 6).
Spatial Genetic Structure (SGS) parameters for two mangrove species across four estuaries in Panama
Mangrove species/ Ocean
Bocas del Toro
Bocas del Toro (P)
Bocas del Toro (MG )
Costa Arriba (O)
Montijo Gulf (Y)
Montijo Gulf (P)
San Miguel Gulf
San Miguel Gulf (LL)
San Miguel Gulf ( TG )
Bocas del Toro and Costa Arriba (O)
Montijo Gulf (TG)
Montijo Gulf (P)
Montijo Gulf (Y)
San Miguel Gulf
San Miguel Gulf (R)
San Miguel Gulf (TG)
San Miguel Gulf (LL)
The extent of SGS of two mangrove species was also different. Avicennia germinans showed a range of kinship values almost ten times higher than R. mangle. SGS was greater in A. germinans (Sp = 0.0186 ± SE 0.0026, Ndemes = 7) than for R. mangle (Sp = 0.0019 ± SE 0.0031, Ndemes = 4) across demes with N > 50 on scales up to 10 km (Kruskall-Wallis ANOVA, P = 0.0000) (Figure 3 and Table 4).
Hierarchical structure of genetic variation in cpDNA
Avicennia germinans has lower genetic structure at the cpDNA level (G ST = 0.35) relative to R. mangle (G ST = 0.85) (Table 1). However, hierarchical organization of genetic structure of the two species at cpDNA shows more similar patterns than those inferred by nuclear microsatellites. In A. germinans, both Caribbean and Pacific coast samples showed strong structure between estuaries, (i.e. FST = 0.149 between Bocas del Toro and Costa Arriba estuaries in the Caribbean, and FST = 0.528 between Montijo Gulf and San Miguel Gulf in the Pacific). However, some haplotypes were shared between estuaries along same coastline but separated by ~300 km. In contrast, all R. mangle individuals shared a single haplotype on the Caribbean coast, while on the Pacific side although both estuaries shared the same two haplotypes; strong genetic population structure existed between Montijo Gulf and San Miguel Gulf (i.e. FST = 0.353) (Table 2 and Figure 2). Most of the genetic variation in cpDNA genome is partitioned among ocean basins, with 67% for A. germinans and 33% of the variation partitioned within estuaries (Table 2 and Additional file 2). Rhizophora mangle shows a similar pattern with 56% of the variation partitioned among oceans and 44% within estuaries (Table 2). Contrary to what was observed across microsatellites, the SGS analysis based on cpDNA did not show significant slopes within each one of the four Panamanian estuaries analyzed, perhaps due to limited sample size (Additional file 3).
Comparison of pollen and seed migration rates
In A. germinans the pollen-to-seed gene flow ratio was negative, or basically zero (r = −0.64), which indicates one to two times higher gene flow via hydrochorious seed dispersal than entomophilous dispersed pollen gene flow. In comparison, the ratio obtained in R. mangle indicates approximately seven times higher ambophilous pollen gene flow than hydrochorious seed gene flow (r = 7.65). However, because the confidence limits of each species overlap with the expected value of equal seed and pollen flow, we could not reject the null hypothesis of m pollen = m seed gene flow in either species (Table 1).
Mangrove communities are critically important ecosystems that are high in aquatic and terrestrial biological diversity in tropical and subtropical ecosystems worldwide [2, 5]. Today they are threatened by high rates of anthropogenic disturbance, including habitat destruction, pollution, fragmentation, and changes in oceanic and estuarine environments due to climate change [9, 10, 34]. The goal of this study was to document spatial genetic structure of two dominant Neotropical mangrove species at three spatial levels (1) among four estuaries in Panama (2) Between two estuaries from same coastal line and (3) within each one of the four estuaries. These data provide critical information to understanding how genetic diversity is structured and maintained within mangrove species and communities.
Both mangrove species showed a strong genetic break across the CAI. However, the patterns of diversity observed in this study were the opposite of what we had expected for both species. We found significant differences between estuaries from same coastline and also IBD within estuaries in both mangrove species. In addition, both mangrove species showed comparable outcrossing rates, contrary to other reports on their mating systems. Further, A. germinans showed much higher levels of genetic diversity, especially in plastid genomes, than R. mangle, in spite of the fact that R. mangle populations have a more continuous distribution. Finally, although there is documented evidence for extreme LDD in both mangrove species, our evidence mostly indicates restricted gene dispersal overall and largely equivalent rates of seed and pollen dispersal. Below, we interpret the observed population genetic differences of these species as well as the combined effects of species’ life histories, gene dispersal limitation, and biogeographic history.
The ecological imprint on genetic structure: mating system and Pollen vs. seed movement
The two mangrove species showed strong genetic structure across four estuaries analyzed, including evidence of substructure and IBD within estuaries. Nevertheless, the patterns of genetic structure were very different between species. Microsatellites revealed lower gene diversity and lower genetic structure in R. mangle than A. germinans. This contradicts the predictions based upon an outcrossing mating system where assumed outcrossing species, such as A. germinans, are expected to have lower genetic structure than the mixed-mating R. mangle[33, 35].
The protandry reported in A. germinans is the main evidence that supports an outcrossing mating system in this species because the flower-developing mechanism makes autogamy unlikely (i.e. within-flower pollination) . However, absence of self-pollination (autogamy) is not equivalent to self-incompatibility because pollination could ocurr between different flowers on the same plant (geitonogamy). Other Avicennia species from Indo-West Pacific region including A. marina and A. officinalis show this pattern [36, 37]. There is no direct evidence of self-incompatibility in A. germinans that we know of. It is possible that the patchy spatial distribution of A. germinans populations observed in Panama has an effect on the levels of outcrossing and therefore on the genetic structure in this species. In isolated individuals or low density populations geitonogamy could be an advantageous breeding system . Moreover, the r=−0.64 estimates of pollen vs. seed flow suggests that although seed dispersal is likely equivalent to pollen dispersal in A. germinans, in a patchy matrix, this seed dispersal still is usually very local, leading to greater biparental inbreeding, and increasing population genetic differentiation and spatial genetic structure in nuclear genomes [38, 39].
Our data also suggest that historically ambophilous pollen dispersal mechanism of R. mangle has been more efficient promoting outcrossing and long-distance gene flow than entomophilous pollination system of A. germinans. Based on previous genetic studies, it is predicted to have higher dispersal potential and therefore low genetic structure in species with wind pollination system over species with insect pollinator system . However, reproductive biology studies in other ambophilous species suggest a completely opposite trend indicating that in self-compatible species as is the case of R. mangle, wind is actually the mechanism that promotes selfing and that out-crossing is associated with insect pollen distribution. The reason is that abiotic mechisms as wind do not target distant receptive flowers as efficiently as insects [40, 41].
Although we do not know the rates of wind-to-insect pollen dispersal in R. mangle, the ratios of pollen-to-seed dispersal of r=7.7 estimated in this study are lower than those estimated in exclusively wind-dispersed plants (r=17  and r=200 ). In addition, based on the Hamilton and Miller’s method calculations, pollen vs. seed was not significantly different from each other meaning that ambophilous pollen dispersal is less efficient than exclusively anemophilous pollen dispersal and/or that seed dispersal in this species is comparatively higher than in other exclusively wind pollinated species.
The contrast of seed viability between the two species may also have a strong influence in levels of genetic structure. Rhizophora mangle species have the highest longevity seeds of any mangrove genus [15, 29]. Direct experiments regarding establishment of seeds after long periods of floating exposure in sea water have showed a 60% success rate after 247 days floating for R. mangle, higher than any other Rhizophoracea species . There is no similar quantitative data on establishment success after dispersal for A. germinans; however, its seed longevity is shorter than R. mangle. The local genetic structure observed in Panama largely corroborates this pattern, especially in the Caribbean, where two estuaries separated by 300 km showed identical chloroplast and nuclear genetic diversity in R. mangle but strong structure in A. germinans. Although A. germinans showed evidence of shared cpDNA haplotypes among estuaries on the same coast, there are also some cpDNA haplotypes and nuclear alleles that are restricted to each estuary, generating strong structure, even within estuaries. Thus, in a variable estuarine environment where seed movement is stochastic , our data suggests that higher propagule longevity leads to a greater chance of successful establishing at long distances, increasing gene flow and decreasing population structure [45, 46].
The historical imprint on genetic structure
The Isthmus of Panama represents a 20 My to three My old barrier to seed gene flow between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, and is the narrowest terrestrial area in the New World that separates mangrove populations in each ocean [47, 48]. Based on microsatellite and chloroplast genetic diversity observed across the Isthmus, this land mass has created high levels of genetic structure and a strong barrier for contemporary seed gene flow. Moreover, our results indicate that the Isthmus also represents a strong barrier to pollen flow in each species. This is likely due to the absence of a continuous terrestrial population that spans the entire distance between coasts. Thus, the strong isolating effect that the rise of the CAI has had on population differentiation for these two and other species highlights the role of restricted seed dispersal in creating spatial genetic structure in hydrochorious marine species [49–51].
Population differentiation observed between different oceans is exceptionally high compared to other tropical tree species. For example, Dick and Huertz  report an average F ST = 0.14 for microsatellites variation from the Neotropical tree Symphonia globulifera. Within Panama, S. globulifera averaged F ST = 0.11 for samples taken across the Isthmus of Panama, which is within the range of observations that we see when comparisons are made within oceans for the mangrove species here. However, even trans-Andean F ST between Mesoamerican populations of bird pollinated, mammal dispersal S. globulifera and those in the Amazon separated by > 3,000 km showed maximum F ST = 0.27, still lower than lowest pairwise F ST for A. germinans made between trans-Isthmian populations of Montijo Gulf and Costa Arriba (F ST = 0.31) separated by < 100 km. Furthermore, populations of insect pollinated and wind dispersed mahogany (Sweitenia macrophyla) across Mesoamerica also show a lower overall F ST = 0.10, with the largest pairwise differences (F ST = 0.238) observed between Panamanian and Guatemalan populations at a distance of > 1,600 km .
In spite of similar effects of CAI in the genetic structure of these two mangroves, we found unexpectedly high levels of cpDNA diversity and structure in A. germinans that suggests a level of diversity that could be more influenced by population history and demography than current gene flow . The cpDNA diversity observed in A. germinans is remarkable given the small sample size and short geographic distances separating the populations both within and between coasts. This high level of diversity could be indicative of historical processes determining spatial genetic structure of populations. Although the fossil record of mangroves in Pleistocene is scarce and therefore the reconstruction of current mangrove distribution is very speculative, several lines of evidence suggest that mangrove ecosystem were under episodic crises during the Quaternary, specially associated to sea-level and temperature/humidity fluctuations [55–57]. In particular, it is possible that current populations of A. germinans represent remnants of refugial populations created during the Pleistocene . In fact, Panamanian populations are genetically diverse compared to other regions, and it has been suggested that both ancient introgressive hybridization and secondary contact between A. germinans and its sister species A. bicolor has occurred in Panama (especially on the Pacific side), generating a hotspot of genetic diversity .
Our results in A. germinans contrast strongly with R. mangle, where very little cpDNA diversity was observed. These two species differ in their density and distribution, with R. mangle forming extremely dense, continuous forests near to shore, and A. germinans forming patchily distributed, lower-density stands at low and middle intertidal zones. One hypothesis that could explain the current distribution of cpDNA diversity is that mangrove populations represent relicts of much larger ancestral populations but that after Pleistocene-Holocene sea-level fluctuations, the mangrove composition shifted to a R. mangle -dominated community [55, 57, 59]. Under this scenario, R. mangle could have resulted in a more efficient colonizer than A. germinans follow a stepping-stone dispersion pattern. This process combined with self-fertilization observed in R. mangle could be the responsible of the current continous and dense populations and the low cpDNA and nuclear diversity observed in this species . Alternatively, it is also possible that only certain older lineages of R. mangle that are well adapted to current conditions survived in the Pleistocene-Holocene sea-level fluctiations and that only those exclusive lineages recolonized available habitats during the Holocene or that longer time of R. mangle presence in neotropics generated more lost of diversity via genetic drift than younger A. germinans.
Regardless of the explanation, A. germinans joins the ranks of tropical tree species in Panama that show complex biogeographic history with disproportionately high levels of cpDNA diversity relative to other parts of their range . The historical complexity of Panama was also evident when we analyzed the geographical variation in structure with greater population differentiation in Pacific versus Caribbean estuaries for both species in nuclear and plastid genetic markers. In the case of R. mangle, introgressive hybridization between R. mangle and its sister species, R. racemosa, is a novel source of genetic variation exclusive to the Pacific . Thus, the levels of genetic structures and patterns of biodiversity in R. mangle are completely different between Caribbean and Pacific due to independent historical processes in the occurrence and sympatry of R. mangle and R. racemosa.
The influence of coastal morphology
Hydrochory per se is assumed to be one of the most efficient mechanisms for LDD in plants. Therefore, it is expected that hydrochorious plant species should have high gene flow among populations and low genetic structure, especially in local geographic areas [61–63]. Our data contradict this hypothesis because the two mangrove species resulted genetically structured among and within estuaries, indicating local restrictions to both pollen and seed dispersal, especially in A. germinans species. Currently, one of the major threats in mangroves is fragmentation and sea-level changes associated with climate changes [10, 11]. Historically, both mangrove species have experimented sea-level fluctuations at several times and climate changes [3, 4, 55, 56], thus, our results suggest that historically R. mangle have maintained more gene dispersal of both pollen and seed dispersal than A. germinans. However, our results also suggested that geographic location is important in predicting levels of genetic structure in mangroves. Pacific populations proved to be more structured than Caribbean populations in both mangrove species. One possible explanation is biological. The Pacific coast has been characterized by ancient hybridization between A. germinans and A. bicolor, but there is also the current scenario of introgressive hybridization between R. mangle and R. racemosa. Both hybridization processes are apparently complicating current levels of structure compared with Caribbean populations [13, 31]. The other possible explanation is abiotic, including basin geomorphology and connectivity due to ocean currents. Our results suggest that current or historical landscape characteristics of Pacific estuaries are in some way enhancing pollen and seed dispersal limitations, generating more structure compared to Caribbean estuaries. Similarly, the density of A. germinans is very variable and in some places, for example in French Guiana A. germinans could be more dense and extended than R. mangle. In consequence, patterns of genetic structure among and within estuaries in that region could be completely different to observed in Panama. Thus, although life-history traits are important to predict expected genetic structure, landscape settings are generating a variety of situations on local scales that complicate any prediction in terms of expected levels of genetic structure . Therefore, although long distance gene flow between South America and West Africa has been observed in both A. germinans and R. mangle[12, 13], estuarine geomorphology and ocean currents in Panama, especially on the Pacific side, seem to be more complex, preventing pollen and seed dispersal.
Study sites and sampling strategy
We collected leaf samples from A. germinans and R. mangle trees within the four largest estuaries in Panama: Bocas del Toro and Costa Arriba in the Caribbean and Montijo Gulf and San Miguel Gulf in the Pacific (Figure 1). Within each estuary, we selected ten equidistant sites across the geographic contour for sampling. The sampling sites included rivers, streams, channels and shoreline areas, each with riverine or fringe mangrove forests. Within each sampling site we established transects parallel to the water's edge, and randomly selected a maximum of 30 adult trees for each mangrove species with a dbh ≥ 10 cm and spaced with a minimum distance of 5 m between sampled trees. All selected trees were geo-referenced using a GPS or a compass and measuring tape.
We used 11 and 6 microsatellite loci for the analysis of 980 A. germinans individuals and 940 R. mangle individuals respectively, following established protocols [13, 65–67] but with modifications  (See Additional file 4 for details). We calculated the average number of alleles per locus, observed heterozygosity (H o ), expected heterozygosity (H e ), and the fixation index (F IS ) for each species across the four estuaries using GENALEX 6.0 . In addition, we calculated the outcrossing rate by hand as 1 = F IS /1 + F IS . For each locus, we tested deviations from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) and linkage equilibrium (LE) with GENEPOP 3.4 . Also, we tested for the presence of null alleles and scoring problems associated with allelic stuttering or allelic dropout using MICROCHECKER 2.2.3 . This analysis found no stutter bands or genotyping errors across microsatellites. However, some loci showed a positive presence of null alleles, ranged from −0.04 to 0.26 in A. germinans and from −0.18 to 0.29 in R. mangle (Additional File 4).
We compared the hierarchical genetic structure of A. germinans and R. mangle at three geographic levels: (1) Among four estuaries, (2) Between two estuaries along same coastline and (3) Within estuaries. For (1) among estuaries, we used a F ST based AMOVA  in ARLEQUIN 3.5  after 10,000 permutations. We compare this result with the ENA method implemented in FREENA to correct the bias induced by the presence of null alleles on the F ST estimation after 10,000 replicates (Additional File 4). For levels (2) Between two estuaries along same coastline and (3) Within estuaries we used STRUCTURE 2.2 [76–78], GENELAND 3.1.4 [79, 80] and, for mixed-mated R. mangle, INSTRUCT  .
In STRUCTURE 2.2 we assumed an admixed model and a uniform prior probability of the number of populations, K. All the runs were performed with 500,000 MCMC replicates after a burn-in of 50,000 replicates. We used a model of correlated allele frequencies varying the level of structure from K = 1 to 6 populations. Ten independent runs were done for each value of K to generate our estimate of the true number of demes . Previous empirical and simulation analysis using STRUCTURE showed that null allele presence have a low effect in the accuracy of assignment tests [83, 84]. This effect was moderate even in populations with a frequency of null alleles > 0.917 for a single locus . Therefore we performed the STRUCTURE 2.2. analysis with no correction to the raw data to account for null alleles. Nevertheless, the GENELAND 3.1.4. analysis was performed using a explicit null alleles presence model as we explain below.
The GENELAND 3.1.4 model assumes that population membership is structured across space. Thus, if this assumption is correct, the power of inferring clusters based upon the combination of genetic and geographical information increases compared with using STRUCTURE alone [85, 86]. However, in the case of weak spatial organization, the inferred structure of GENELAND is expected to be similar to STRUCTURE inference . For each run in GENELAND, we used the spatial D-model to calculate allele frequencies and set the maximum rate of the Poisson process and the maximum number of nuclei (i.e. three times the total number of individuals) according to the total number of individuals collected within each coast. In addition, we set an uncertainty attached to spatial coordinates fixed to 50 m. We performed ten independent runs of GENELAND allowing K to vary from 1–10 populations using the simultaneously uncorrelated allele frequency model, the spatial model, and the null allele model due to the presence of null alleles detected in both mangrove species (Additional File 4). We completed 100,000 iterations for each independent run, saving every 10th iteration using a burn-in of 5,000 iterations. Finally, as mating systems may be different between the two species under study and selfing rates could influence deme structure in mixed-mating species, we used INSTRUCT to infer simultaneously the selfing rates of R. mangle and its genetic structure at two levels: (2) Between two estuaries along same coastline and (3) Within estuaries. In INSTRUCT, HWE is not assumed as it is in STRUCTURE; rather the expected genotype frequencies are calculated based on selfing rates. We ran five independent chains, each chain having 500,000 iterations steps, 250,000 burn-in iterations, a thinning interval of 10 and assuming a Dirichlet process of mixture.
Spatial genetic structure within estuaries
We investigated spatial genetic structure (SGS) at level (3) within estuaries using a spatial autocorrelation analysis . For this analysis, we calculated the pairwise kinship coefficient between all individuals (F ij ) separated at different distance classes following  up to 10 km. Kinship coefficients (F ij ) were regressed using the logarithm of the spatial distance between individuals (ld ij ) within each one of the estuaries analyzed. Standard errors were assessed by jackknifing data over each locus. We generated uneven lags with constant number of individuals inside distance classes (N > 100) with > 90% of pairwise relationships among nearest neighbors included within the first interval. Using SPAGeDi 1.3 , we calculated the regressions of kinship coefficients (F ij ) vs. natural logarithm of distance classes (ld ij ) to provide the regression slope (b ld ). We tested the significance of SGS and the IBD in two dimensions using the observed slope (b ld ) of the linear regression of the kinship coefficient on the logarithm of the distance class against the null hypothesis Ho: b ld = 0 (i.e. the overall absence of SGS) by comparing the observed values with those obtained after 10,000 permutations of individuals between locations. Where GENELAND detected a spatial deme within an estuary, this procedure was applied to each inferred deme that was represented by at least 50 individuals, excluding admixed individuals.
To compare the extent of SGS between the two mangrove species over the same geographic scales and across different estuaries, we calculated the Sp statistics on spatial scales of up to 10 km. The Sp statistics were calculated from the slope of the regression (b ld ) of the Kinship coefficient [Fij of 88] against the logarithm of the distance, S p = − bl10km/(1 − F A ) where the regression slope, b l10km , is less than 10 km and F A is the average kinship coefficient between individuals belonging to the first distance class (< 100 m in all cases). This first distance class included all pairs of neighbors . In the cases where we found demes within estuaries we repeated this procedure for each one of the subpopulations if N > 50.
A subsample of 58 individuals of A. germinans and 60 individuals of R. mangle and distributed across the four estuaries (i.e. 14–18 individuals per estuary) was sequenced using two chloroplast (cpDNA) non-coding regions atpI-atpH and psbJ-petA. We redesigned primers to avoid short-repeat regions and improve sequence quality in all regions except for the atpI-atpH region in A. germinans. Modified primers for the psbJ-petA region in A. germinans were F: AGATTGATCGATATCGGGTTC and R: GGAAAACCGAAACCCAGAC. Modified primers for R. mangle analysis, PCR and sequencing specifications for both species were described previously . For each mangrove species we calculated the haplotype diversity using DNASP 4.5 . In addition we constructed a median joining network  for the combined cpDNA regions using NETWORK 184.108.40.206 (fluxus-engineering.com). We calculated population structure using ARLEQUIN 3.5  at level (1) among four estuaries and (2) between two estuaries from same coastal line. Finally, we used SPAGEDI 1.3  to investigate SGS at level (3) within estuaries, using a spatial autocorrelation analysis of cpDNA variation. For this analysis, we calculated the pairwise kinship analogue coefficient between all individuals based on the genetic distances between haplotypes (N ij ) separated at different distance classes vs. natural logarithm of distance classes (ld ij ) to provide the regression slope (b ld ) on spatial scales up to 10 km in a procedure similar to that used for microsatellites .
Comparison of pollen and seed migration rates
In order to compare pollen and seeds migration rates across four estuaries we estimated F ST and F IS from microsatellite data and G ST from cpDNA data using SPAGEDI 1.3 . These F-estimates were used to calculate the ratio (r) of pollen migration (mp) to seed migration (ms) (i.e. mp/ms) for each mangrove species following the equation r = [(1/F ST bipar − 1)(1 + F IS )] − 2(1/G ST mat − 1)/(1/G ST mat − 1) [Eq. 5a, 43]. In addition, the same F-statistics based on microsatellite and cpDNA variations were used to test the null hypothesis mseed = mpollen comparing the expected maternal F ST predicted from microsatellite variation (i.e. biparental F ST ) vs. the observed maternal F ST estimated as G ST from actual cpDNA variation . The expected maternal F ST was calculated following F ST mat = (a bipar F ST bipar )/a mat + (a bipar − a mat )F ST bipar where a mat = 2.0 and a bipar change depending of outcrossing rate (t) calculated for each species from microsatellite data [Eq. 10, 21]. Under this procedure, the null hypothesis is rejected if confidence intervals (± 2SE) of observed and expected values fail to overlap .
Although there is documented direct and genetic evidence for extreme LDD in mangrove species A. germinans and R. mangle, our data across estuaries in Panama showed restricted gene dispersal overall and equivalent rates of seed and pollen dispersal in both mangrove species. Rhizophora mangle showed lower gene diversity and lower genetic structure than A. germinans. This suggest that an amphophilous pollen syndrome combined with a higher propagule longevity leads to a greater chance of successful establishing at long distances, increasing gene flow and decreasing gene diversity and population structure. However, species density, coastal geomorphology as well as ocean currents could vary across ocean basins and estuaries, generating a variety of situations on local scales that complicate any prediction in terms of expected levels of genetic structure.
This work had the financial support of STRI (short-term fellowship) and University of Puerto Rico (CREST, DEGI and NSF-EPSCor fellowships) as part of ICS’s PhD thesis. Thanks to ANAM in Panama for collections permits. We are grateful to E. Diaz, L.M. Garcia, N. Giraldo and G. Thomas for fieldwork support in Panama. Finally, thanks to F. Alda, L. Geyer, A. Nordine, K. Rosas, K. Saltonstall and the two anonymous reviewers for their invaluable comments to previous version of this manuscript.
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