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Figure 6 | BMC Evolutionary Biology

Figure 6

From: An improved approximate-Bayesian model-choice method for estimating shared evolutionary history

Figure 6

Power to avoid spurious support for no temporal variance in divergences (i.e., D T <0.01 ) when divergence times are random. The tendency of models (A–D) M m s B a y e s , (E–H) M U s h a p e d , (I–L) M U n i f o r m , and (M–P) M D P P to support one divergence event when there is random variation in divergence times as simulated under the ℳ msBayes series of models. The plots illustrate histograms of the estimated posterior probability of the one divergence model, p(D T <0.01|B ε (S∗)), from analyses of 1000 datasets simulated under each of the ℳ msBayes models. The 22 divergence times were randomly drawn as indicated above each column of plots, where time is respresented as millions of generations ago (MGA) according to a per-site rate of 1 × 10−8 mutations per generation. Four of the six data-generating models of the ℳ msBayes series are shown; please see Additional file 1: Figure S23 for all results.

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