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Table 3 Bayes factors for the topological comparisons

From: Thermal niche evolution and geographical range expansion in a species complex of western Mediterranean diving beetles

A)

   

Constraint

HME

PS

SS

C0

–23985

–24419

–24421

C1

–24004

–24424

–24425

C2

–24015

–24443

–24444

B)

   

Model

HME

PS

SS

C

–1696

–2052

–2053

Ex

–1729

–2041

–2042

Es

–1734

–2043

–2044

L

–1727

–2036

–2038

  1. A) Topological constraints: C0, no constraint; C1, A. ramblae and A. brunneus respectively monophyletic; C2, A. rufulus monophyletic. B) Demographic models of the A. brunneus complex: C, constant population size; Ex, exponential growth; Es, expansion; L, logistic growth.
  2. HME, harmonic mean stimator; PS, path sampling; SS, stepping stone (see text for details).