Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline

Table 5 Ranking of alternative linear regression predictors for the percent of the global H3N2 trunk in different communities

Model	Adjusted R ²	R ²	AIC	BIC
{Pop}	0.464411	0.506	226.15	228.06
{HM, pop}	0.421031	0.510	228.02	230.57
{Pop, density}	0.419179	0.508	228.06	230.62
{HM}	0.414195	0.459	227.40	229.32
{HM, pop, density}	0.367029	0.513	229.93	233.13
{HM, density}	0.365295	0.463	229.30	231.86
{}	0.	0.	234.00	235.29
{Density}	−0.0538263	0.027	235.62	237.53

HM – Harmonic mean of the estimated percent of the total global incidence in each community, in different months, across twelve months Pop – Population size of a community, as total of the countries included in a community, Density – Population density of a community, as the total area divided by the total population size of countries within the community.

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