Fig. 9

Influence of distinct extinction scenarios on Medusa and TreePar predictions. a: Medusa outcome; diamonds: proportion of simulations where the model with the correct number of events is chosen; circles: proportion of simulations where a model with too many events is chosen; there are less correctly assessed simulations for Medusa because of the high number of lineage shifts in these simulations (5). b: TreePar outcome and error on the timing of events: boxplots: error on the timing of the estimated extinction relative to the first speciation event; blank background: detection of mass extinctions; dashed background: detection of global rate shifts; other symbols as in A