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Table 3 Results of fitting rate-constant and rate-variable diversification models to the maximum clade credibility chronogram of Bulbophyllum clade C (Fig. 3c) using birth-death likelihood (BDL) analysis

From: Multiple independent origins of auto-pollination in tropical orchids (Bulbophyllum) in light of the hypothesis of selfing as an evolutionary dead end

Model

r 1

r 2

r 3

st 1

st 2

a

x

k

Ln L

AIC

ΔAIC

PB

0.53

–

–

–

–

–

–

–

25.485

-48.97

3.250

BD

0.53

–

–

–

–

0

–

–

25.485

-46.97

5.250

DDX

0.83

–

–

–

–

–

0.173

–

25.753

-47.505

4.714

DDL

0.87

–

–

–

–

–

–

45.605

26.638

-49.275

2.945

Y2R

0.646

0.159

–

0.43

–

–

–

–

28.221

-50.442

1.778

YR3

0.41

8.116

0.502

1.866

1.824

–

–

–

31.11

-52.22

0

  1. The best fitting model based on the AIC is in bold
  2. r = net diversification rate (speciation events per million years), st = time (breakpoint) of rate shift, a = extinction fraction, x = x-parameter from the DDX model, k = k-parameter from the DDL model, Ln L = log-likelihood, AIC = Akaike Information Criterion, ΔAIC = change in AIC relative to the best model