Skip to main content

Table 2 Results of testing alternative models of niche transition in BayesTraits using logarithmic Bayes Factor (BF) comparisons

From: Frequent but asymmetric niche shifts in Bulbophyllum orchids support environmental and climatic instability in Madagascar over Quaternary time scales

Model

Marginal likelihood

Standard error

2(log BF)

q AB

q AC

q BA

q BC

q CA

q CB

No constraint

−34.74

+/− 0.017

-

77.03

68.17

68.99

71.50

41.74

53.28

q AB = 0

−37.73

+/− 0.020

5.93

0

57.61

64.94

79.81

38.02

63.57

q AC = 0

−36.64

+/− 0.019

3.53

74.17

0

67.35

81.99

31.09

53.85

q BA = 0

−37.37

+/− 0.020

5.12

75.50

76.98

0

70.84

63.44

59.58

q BC = 0

−38.20

+/− 0.023

5.85

78.44

83.30

74.54

0

42.40

42.62

q CA = 0

−34.38

+/− 0.017

−0.75

75.47

62.09

72.48

71.12

0

51.80

q CB = 0

−35.21

+/− 0.017

0.80

80.33

65.13

69.27

66.25

40.37

0

q CB = 0, qCA = 0

−35.00

+/− 0.017

0.46

77.64

59.20

70.45

63.67

0

0