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Table 1 Biogeographic models analyzed in BioGeoBEARS. Each dispersal or vicariance scenario was tested using the six models available in BioGeoBEARS (DEC, DEC+J, DIVALIKE, DIVALIKE+J, BAYAREALIKE, BAYAREALIKE+J)

From: Towards a synthesis of the Caribbean biogeography of terrestrial arthropods

Time Period of Model

Geologic Events Reflected in Model

MODELS 1: Without GAARlandia | 2: With GAARlandia

a: Dispersal probability decreases as distance increases

b: Distance does not affect dispersal probability

c: Probability of overwater dispersal is very low

A: 3 my – present

Complete closure of the Central American Seaway and uplift of the Isthmus of Panama [18].

A1a | A2a

A1b | A2b

A1c | A2c

B: 23 my – present

First collision between southern tip of Central America and northwestern South America [19].

B1a | B2a

B1b | B2b

B1c | B2c

C: 15 my – present

Significant land above sea level or complete closure of the Isthmus of Panama [19, 20].

C1a | C2a

C1b | C2b

C1c | C2c

D: 8 my – present

Shoaling of the Central American Seaway from 12 to 7 my [21]; land bridge nearly complete by 10 my [32]. * We chose to use this intermediate period to account for the gradual closure of the Central American Seaway and its uncertainty after 15 my and before 3 my.

D1a | D2a

D1b | D2b

D1c | D2c

E: 23–15 my AND 3 my – present

This model emulates dispersal possibilities during two periods: that of the first contact of South America and Central America, followed by the full closure of the Central American Seaway.

E1a | E2a

E1b | E2b

E1c | E2c

F: 15–8 my AND 3 my – present

This emulates dispersal possibilities during two periods: during a time when there may have been a significant amount of land, followed by the full closure of the Central American Seaway.

F1a | F2a

F1b | F2b

F1c | F2c

G: 8–5 my AND 3 my – present

This emulates dispersal possibilities during two periods: a time when there was shoaling of the Central American Seaway and an increase in land area of the Isthmus of Panama, followed by the full closure of the Central American Seaway.

G1a | G2a

G1b | G2b

G1c | G2c