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Table 4 (a) and (b) Simulated estimates of mean survival and realised fecundity of 1000 individuals, dependent upon population and maximum seaward migration distance (fjord zone; inner-, mid- and outer-fjord) for smolt (a) and veteran migrant (b) brown trout of Sognefjorden

From: Balancing risks and rewards of alternate strategies in the seaward extent, duration and timing of fjord use in contemporary anadromy of brown trout (Salmo trutta)

(a) Salmo trutta smolts

Population

(Pop. survival rate: \(\Sigma {N}_{Surv}/N\))

Max migration extent

(Fjord zone)

N smolts (\({N}_{Start}\))

N survive

(\({N}_{Surv}\))

Max zone specific survival rate

(\({S}_{maxZ}= \frac{{N}_{Surv}}{{N}_{Start}}\))

Aurland

(0.447)

I

151

62

0.412

M

849

385

0.453

O

0

  

Lærdal

(0.521)

I

0

  

M

894

466

0.522

O

106

55

0.514

Ã…rdal

(0.638)

I

0

  

M

740

471

0.637

O

260

167

0.641

Fortun

(0.754)

I

625

500

0.799

M

375

254

0.678

O

0

  

Mørkrid

(0.560)

I

855

516

0.603

M

145

44

0.303

O

0

  

(b) Veteran migrant Salmo trutta (mean values across years)

Population

(Pop. survival rate:

\(\Sigma {N}_{Surv}/N\) ± SD)

Max mig. extent

(Fjord zone)

N veteran migrants

(\({N}_{Start}\))

N survive

(\({N}_{Surv}\))

Est. fecundity ± SD

(\(\overline{{Fec }_{TL}}\))

Max zone specific survival

(\({S}_{maxZ}= \frac{{N}_{Surv}}{{N}_{Start}}\))

Realised individual fecundity

\((\overline{{Fec }_{TL}}\)* \({S}_{maxZ}\))

Realised population fecundity (%)

\((\Sigma \overline{{Fec }_{TL}}\) * \({N}_{Surv}\))

Aurland

(0.770 ± 0.001)

I

0

     

M

958

740

2,785 ± 18

0.772

2,151

2.1e6 (86.0)

O

42

30

11,298 ± 18

0.709

8,009

3.4e5 (14.0)

Lærdal

(0.680 ± 0.004)

I

181

100

843 ± 6

0.554

467

8.5e4 (4.2)

M

784

561

3,086 ± 22

0.716

2,208

1.7e6 (85.4)

O

35

19

11,208 ± 52

0.537

6,019

2.1e5 (10.4)

Ã…rdal

(0.862 ± 0.001)

I

0

     

M

966

834

2,676 ± 13

0.863

2,311

2.2e6 (87.9)

O

34

28

11,009 ± 34

0.821

9,039

3.1e5 (12.1)

Fortun

(0.909 ± 0.002)

I

0

     

M

714

660

1,738 ± 4

0.924

1,606

1.1e6 (45.5)

O

286

250

5,509 ± 30

0.873

4,808

1.4e6 (54.5)

  1. Estimates are derived from the simulated trajectories of migrant brown trout habitat use for 1000 individuals from each study population (Fig. 8a, c), and for veteran migrants during 2013 – 2015 conditions (Figure S7). Values presented are the means and standard deviations (SD) derived from 100 iterations of each simulation (see Figs. 8 and 9 for confidence intervals). Dependant on max zone reached, TL at end of growth season was estimated as \({TL}_{rep}={TLe}^{{g}_{SW2(maxZ)}* 0.5}\), where sea growth was estimated from 2nd sea age specific growth (\({g}_{SW2}\)). Size-specific estimates of fecundity (\(\overline{{Fec }_{TL}}\)) were generated according to \({Fec}_{TL}={e}^{-4.03+2.74* {TL}_{Rep}}\). Only individuals contributing to the spawning population (\({TL}_{Rep}\)> 35 cm and retuned to freshwater during the period WoY 37 – 52), were included in the estimates of realised fecundity